Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.28 -0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $656.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (6)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE ABUS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.34>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE40% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.28H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ABUS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -6.04% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 1.34 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (25)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ABUS
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABUS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ABUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.90%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $4.28H $4.30L $4.14C $4.28VOL 2.53M
RES: $5.56SUP: $4.01SMA50: $4.71SMA200: $4.50
$5.55$5.14$4.74$4.33$3.92RES $5.56SUP $4.01$4.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +128.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABUS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABUS)

Health Care Rank #1003 of 1016 ⚔️ LXRX vs ABUS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ABUS vs. LXRX, IMMX, ANL, BCAX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) ranks #1003 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #410 by equity capitalization ($656.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABUS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LXRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -31.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. ANL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with ABUS at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABUS ACTIVE
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -0.93% $656.0M Benchmark Subject
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 39/100 — 96.0% -31.5% -0.34% $658.5M /lxrx-vs-abus →
IMMX
Immix Biopharma Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.78% $661.6M /immx-vs-abus →
ANL
Adlai Nortye Group Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — — +0.78% $662.0M /anl-vs-abus →
BCAX
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
D 45/100 — — -35.0% -0.31% $643.9M /bcax-vs-abus →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001447028

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) reported GAAP revenue of $14.1M (+128.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.2M , and -22.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.5M, operating cash flow of -$39.6M, and free cash flow of -$39.6M (+39.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABUS closed FY2025 with $94.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.34, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.1M -$33.5M -$39.6M -$39.6M $94.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.2M -$69.9M -$64.8M -$65.0M $131.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $18.1M -$72.8M -$85.9M -$85.9M — —

3. ABUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (NASDAQ: ABUS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $4.28 (-0.93% 1D, market cap $656.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ABUS ranks #1003 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABUS compare to LXRX and IMMX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ABUS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LXRX (Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.5%, cap $658.5M) and IMMX (Immix Biopharma Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $661.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABUS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABUS?

Per ABUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001447028), Arbutus Biopharma Corporation generated $14.1M in revenue (+128.2% YoY), -$33.5M in net income, and -$39.6M in free cash flow against $94.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABUS last traded at $4.28 (-0.93% on volume of 1,209,756 shares), positioning the stock -9.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.71) and -4.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.50). Across its 52-week range of $3.50 to $5.45, ABUS sits at the 40.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($3.93 to $4.63).

ABUS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ABUS stock right now?

Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 22/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ABUS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ABUS's 12-month base price target is $3.59 (range $2.8 to $5.72), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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