Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BBSI / earnings

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Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$32.36 -0.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.28

Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $784.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.29 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 5.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BBSI SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.3% FCF Margin ($66.0M FCF) & 21% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$31.72+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$32.55+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$33.22-2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$32.36+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBSI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, BBSI faces multiple-compression risk if 14.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.60) or 200D SMA ($32.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($33.96) toward Bear Floor ($26.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBSI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BBSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$1.91 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BBSI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $2.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.24B	$54.4M	$66.0M	21%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.14B	$53.0M	$10.1M	22.1%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$50.6M	$67.2M	21%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BBSI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BBSI
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BBSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.63%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $33.00H $33.00L $32.36C $32.36VOL 116.7K

RES: $33.45SUP: $29.68SMA50: $32.60SMA200: $32.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BBSI Butterfly Map → + Track BBSI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBSI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #204 of 1011 ⚔️ BWMN vs BBSI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BBSI vs. BWMN, KELYB, KFRC, KELYA)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #539 by equity capitalization ($784.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. KFRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with BBSI at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BBSI ACTIVE Barrett Business Services Inc.	C+	69/100	14.4x	21.0%	33.6%	-0.25%	$784.3M	Benchmark Subject
BWMN Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.	D	51/100	57.8x	53.4%	6.2%	0.00%	$743.0M	/bwmn-vs-bbsi →
KELYB Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)	D+	53/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-4.05%	$949.7M	/kelyb-vs-bbsi →
KFRC Kforce Inc.	B	73/100	29.8x	27.2%	32.3%	+1.40%	$1.04B	/kfrc-vs-bbsi →
KELYA Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	—	20.1%	-5.8%	-1.27%	$564.7M	/kelya-vs-bbsi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000902791

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.14B ) , GAAP net income of $54.4M, operating cash flow of $66.0M, and free cash flow of $66.0M (+553.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBSI closed FY2025 with $779.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.24B	$54.4M	$66.0M	$66.0M	$779.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.14B	$53.0M	$10.1M	$10.1M	$745.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$50.6M	$67.2M	$67.2M	—	—

3. BBSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BBSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Barrett Business Services Inc. (NASDAQ: BBSI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $32.36 (-0.25% 1D, market cap $784.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBSI ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BBSI compare to BWMN and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BBSI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 33.6%. By comparison, BWMN (Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 57.8x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $743.0M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBSI?

Per BBSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000902791), Barrett Business Services Inc. generated $1.24B in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $54.4M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $779.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BBSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BBSI last traded at $32.36 (-0.25% on volume of 182,706 shares), positioning the stock -0.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.60) and -1.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.95). Across its 52-week range of $25.33 to $42.25, BBSI sits at the 41.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($30.45 to $34.27).

BBSI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BBSI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BBSI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for BBSI, spanning a range between $30.45 and $34.27.

Direct Sub-Reports: BBSI RQD Cockpit BBSI 12M Forecast BBSI Earnings & Move BBSI Dividends & DRIP BBSI Insiders & 13F BBSI Whale Options BBSI Profit Sankey BBSI News & Why