MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Imperial Oil shares are trading lower after the company reported worse-than-expected Q4 sales results.Why BATL Stock surged +2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.89 +2.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.89
Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $51.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.89 (+0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 23.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BATL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BATL SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (25% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$1.01+4% Next Q
68
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$1.05-19% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$0.85+4.7% Next Q
63
CurrentGrade C-$0.89+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BATL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, BATL faces multiple-compression risk if 4.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.12) or 200D SMA ($3.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.90) toward Bear Floor ($0.70).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BATL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BATL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BATL Stock surged +2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) surged +2.49% to $0.89, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.67 – $29.7). Solid steady margins (-4% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.67 – $29.7) with RSI-14 at 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.89 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $39.1M annual free cash flow.
Live BATL Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BATL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BATL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.52%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $0.91H $0.99L $0.89C $0.89VOL 4.74M
RES: $0.76SUP: $0.56SMA50: $1.12SMA200: $3.33
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BATL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BATL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BATL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BATL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BATL)
Energy Rank #100 of 211
⚔️ PROP vs BATL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BATL vs. PROP, DWSN, INDO, AGIG)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) ranks #100 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #195 by equity capitalization ($51.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BATL at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATL
ACTIVE
Battalion Oil Corporation | C- | 60/100 | 4.3x | — | -4.4% | +2.49% | $51.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| PROP Prairie Operating Co. | C | 63/100 | — | — | 39.8% | -4.71% | $48.1M | /prop-vs-batl → |
| DWSN Dawson Geophysical Company | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -12.1% | -8.96% | $58.4M | /dwsn-vs-batl → |
| INDO Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -18.4% | +3.75% | $42.6M | /indo-vs-batl → |
| AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.06% | $42.1M | /agig-vs-batl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001282648In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) reported GAAP revenue of $165.0M (-14.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $193.2M , and -24.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.9M, operating cash flow of $39.1M, and free cash flow of $39.1M (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BATL closed FY2025 with $460.7M in total assets against $181.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $165.0M | $11.9M | $39.1M | $39.1M | $460.7M | $181.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $193.2M | -$31.9M | $35.4M | $35.4M | $431.0M | $145.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $218.5M | -$3.0M | $17.6M | $17.6M | — | — |
3. BATL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BATL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Battalion Oil Corporation (NYSE: BATL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $0.89 (+2.49% 1D, market cap $51.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BATL ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BATL compare to PROP and DWSN in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BATL carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.4%. By comparison, PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $48.1M) and DWSN (Dawson Geophysical Company) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.1%, cap $58.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BATL?
Per BATL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001282648), Battalion Oil Corporation generated $165.0M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), $11.9M in net income, and $39.1M in free cash flow against $460.7M in total assets and $181.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BATL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BATL last traded at $0.89 (+2.49% on volume of 1,901,515 shares), positioning the stock -20.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.12) and -73.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.33). Across its 52-week range of $0.67 to $29.70, BATL sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.00).
BATL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BATL stock moving today?
Why BATL Stock surged +2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (-4% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.