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Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$20.71 +0.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.70

Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $266.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.70 (-0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVNW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AVNW SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$20.77-8.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$18.94+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$19.17+8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$20.71-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVNW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AVNW currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.06) and Max Pain ($21.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVNW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AVNW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AVNW Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AVNW)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AVNW. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVNW)

✓Walkthrough of AVNW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AVNW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $20.27H $20.71L $19.23C $20.71VOL 259.6K

RES: $25.17SUP: $18.62SMA50: $20.06SMA200: $21.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVNW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVNW Butterfly Map → + Track AVNW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVNW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVNW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVNW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVNW)

Technology Rank #358 of 714 ⚔️ BKTI vs AVNW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AVNW vs. BKTI, CRNT, VUZI, SATL)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #456 by equity capitalization ($266.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKTI leads on earnings valuation at 20.1x trailing P/E, while BKTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 57.6% ROIC and 48.8% gross margin. BKTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with AVNW at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AVNW ACTIVE Aviat Networks Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+0.88%	$266.3M	Benchmark Subject
BKTI BK Technologies Corporation	A-	82/100	20.1x	48.8%	57.6%	+0.72%	$272.5M	/bkti-vs-avnw →
CRNT Ceragon Networks Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	33.8%	4.3%	-0.46%	$199.0M	/crnt-vs-avnw →
VUZI Vuzix Corporation	E	34/100	—	-16.9%	-35.0%	-2.56%	$192.5M	/vuzi-vs-avnw →
SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$575.0M	/satl-vs-avnw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001377789

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $434.6M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVNW closed FY2025 with $659.4M in total assets against $100.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-26	$0	$0	—	—	$659.4M	$100.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-27	$434.6M	$1.3M	$5.7M	-$7.2M	$594.1M	$71.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-28	$0	$10.8M	$30.5M	$30.5M	—	—

3. AVNW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVNW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aviat Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AVNW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.71 (+0.88% 1D, market cap $266.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AVNW ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVNW compare to BKTI and CRNT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), AVNW carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BKTI (BK Technologies Corporation) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 20.1x, ROIC 57.6%, cap $272.5M) and CRNT (Ceragon Networks Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $199.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKTI leads on earnings multiple (20.1x) while BKTI leads on capital efficiency (57.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVNW?

Per AVNW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001377789), Aviat Networks Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $659.4M in total assets and $100.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVNW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVNW last traded at $20.71 (+0.88% on volume of 147,771 shares), positioning the stock +3.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.06) and -2.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.17). Across its 52-week range of $13.92 to $27.02, AVNW sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($18.83 to $22.59).

AVNW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AVNW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AVNW leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AVNW RQD Cockpit AVNW 12M Forecast AVNW Earnings & Move AVNW Dividends & DRIP AVNW Insiders & 13F AVNW Whale Options AVNW Profit Sankey AVNW News & Why