Stock Ratings / Technology / AVNW / earnings

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Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.1% Move

$20.71 +0.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.70

Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $266.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.70 (-0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVNW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AVNW SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$20.77-8.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$18.94+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$19.17+8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$20.71-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVNW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AVNW currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.06) and Max Pain ($21.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVNW• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AVNW Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 25, 2026 (~53 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.1% Swing Band

±$1.88 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AVNW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-26	$0	$0	$0	52%
FY 2024	2025-06-27	$434.6M	$1.3M	-$7.2M	32.1%
FY 2023	2024-06-28	$0	$10.8M	$30.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVNW)

✓Walkthrough of AVNW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AVNW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $20.27H $20.71L $19.23C $20.71VOL 259.6K

RES: $25.17SUP: $18.62SMA50: $20.06SMA200: $21.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVNW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVNW Butterfly Map → + Track AVNW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVNW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVNW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVNW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVNW)

Technology Rank #358 of 714 ⚔️ BKTI vs AVNW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AVNW vs. BKTI, CRNT, VUZI, SATL)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #456 by equity capitalization ($266.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKTI leads on earnings valuation at 20.1x trailing P/E, while BKTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 57.6% ROIC and 48.8% gross margin. BKTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with AVNW at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AVNW ACTIVE Aviat Networks Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+0.88%	$266.3M	Benchmark Subject
BKTI BK Technologies Corporation	A-	82/100	20.1x	48.8%	57.6%	+0.72%	$272.5M	/bkti-vs-avnw →
CRNT Ceragon Networks Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	33.8%	4.3%	-0.46%	$199.0M	/crnt-vs-avnw →
VUZI Vuzix Corporation	E	34/100	—	-16.9%	-35.0%	-2.56%	$192.5M	/vuzi-vs-avnw →
SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.84%	$575.0M	/satl-vs-avnw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001377789

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $434.6M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVNW closed FY2025 with $659.4M in total assets against $100.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-26	$0	$0	—	—	$659.4M	$100.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-27	$434.6M	$1.3M	$5.7M	-$7.2M	$594.1M	$71.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-28	$0	$10.8M	$30.5M	$30.5M	—	—

3. AVNW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVNW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aviat Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AVNW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.71 (+0.88% 1D, market cap $266.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AVNW ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVNW compare to BKTI and CRNT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), AVNW carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BKTI (BK Technologies Corporation) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 20.1x, ROIC 57.6%, cap $272.5M) and CRNT (Ceragon Networks Ltd.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $199.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKTI leads on earnings multiple (20.1x) while BKTI leads on capital efficiency (57.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVNW?

Per AVNW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001377789), Aviat Networks Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $659.4M in total assets and $100.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVNW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVNW last traded at $20.71 (+0.88% on volume of 147,771 shares), positioning the stock +3.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.06) and -2.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.17). Across its 52-week range of $13.92 to $27.02, AVNW sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($18.83 to $22.59).

AVNW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AVNW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Aviat Networks Inc. (AVNW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 25, 2026.

How much is AVNW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.1% event move for AVNW, spanning a range between $18.83 and $22.59.

Direct Sub-Reports: AVNW RQD Cockpit AVNW 12M Forecast AVNW Earnings & Move AVNW Dividends & DRIP AVNW Insiders & 13F AVNW Whale Options AVNW Profit Sankey AVNW News & Why