Stock Ratings / Industrials / AVEX / forecast

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AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.43 +10.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65

AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.70B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65 (+1.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AVEX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$14.63+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$15.36-29.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$10.83+24% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$13.43+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVEX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AVEX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.22) or 200D SMA ($19.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.49) toward Bear Floor ($10.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AVEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AVEX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.43: 744.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.52

$7,833

$-2,167 (-21.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.49

$10,045

+$45 (+0.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $44.46

$33,105

+$23,105 (+231.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$42	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AVEX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AVEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $13.24H $13.51L $11.86C $13.43VOL 1.59M

RES: $14.04SUP: $8.43SMA50: $15.22SMA200: $19.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVEX Butterfly Map → + Track AVEX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVEX)

Industrials Rank #181 of 485 ⚔️ ACHR vs AVEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AVEX vs. ACHR, AIR, BETA, JOBY)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #221 by equity capitalization ($1.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with AVEX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AVEX ACTIVE AEVEX Corp. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+10.17%	$1.70B	Benchmark Subject
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc.	E	33/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	+0.92%	$3.41B	/achr-vs-avex →
AIR AAR Corp.	C	62/100	22.4x	18.8%	12.0%	+3.67%	$4.20B	/air-vs-avex →
BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	72.2%	-35.0%	+2.95%	$4.81B	/beta-vs-avex →
JOBY Joby Aviation Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$5.05B	/joby-vs-avex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002096300

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVEX closed FY2025 with $627.0M in total assets against $255.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$627.0M	$255.8M

3. AVEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: AVEX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $13.43 (+10.17% 1D, market cap $1.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AVEX ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVEX compare to ACHR and AIR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AVEX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ACHR (Archer Aviation Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.41B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVEX?

Per AVEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002096300), AEVEX Corp. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $627.0M in total assets and $255.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVEX last traded at $13.43 (+10.17% on volume of 2,162,740 shares), positioning the stock -11.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.22) and -32.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.93). Across its 52-week range of $9.64 to $42.34, AVEX sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.75 to $15.11).

AVEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AVEX's 12-month stock price target?

AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.49 (+0.4% from $13.43), with a bull-case target of $44.46 and a bear-case floor of $10.52.

Is AVEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AVEX C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 59/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AVEX RQD Cockpit AVEX 12M Forecast AVEX Earnings & Move AVEX Dividends & DRIP AVEX Insiders & 13F AVEX Whale Options AVEX Profit Sankey AVEX News & Why