Stock Ratings / Industrials / AVEX / earnings

ACHR (33) AIR (62) BETA (52) JOBY (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$13.43 +10.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65

AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.70B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AVEX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: AVEX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $13.43 (+10.17% 1D, market cap $1.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AVEX ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVEX compare to ACHR and AIR in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AVEX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ACHR (Archer Aviation Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.41B) and AIR (AAR Corp.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 22.4x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $4.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIR leads on earnings multiple (22.4x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVEX?

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Per AVEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002096300), AEVEX Corp. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $627.0M in total assets and $255.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.65 (+1.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AVEX SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$14.63+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$15.36-29.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$10.83+24% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$13.43+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVEX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AVEX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.22) or 200D SMA ($19.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.49) toward Bear Floor ($10.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AVEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.68 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AVEX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AVEX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AVEX
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AVEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $13.24H $13.51L $11.86C $13.43VOL 1.59M

RES: $14.04SUP: $8.43SMA50: $15.22SMA200: $19.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVEX Butterfly Map → + Track AVEX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVEX)

Industrials Rank #181 of 485 ⚔️ ACHR vs AVEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AVEX vs. ACHR, AIR, BETA, JOBY)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #221 by equity capitalization ($1.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIR leads on earnings valuation at 22.4x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. AIR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with AVEX at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AVEX ACTIVE AEVEX Corp. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+10.17%	$1.70B	Benchmark Subject
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc.	E	33/100	—	33.3%	-35.0%	+0.92%	$3.41B	/achr-vs-avex →
AIR AAR Corp.	C	62/100	22.4x	18.8%	12.0%	+3.67%	$4.20B	/air-vs-avex →
BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	72.2%	-35.0%	+2.95%	$4.81B	/beta-vs-avex →
JOBY Joby Aviation Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$5.05B	/joby-vs-avex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002096300

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVEX closed FY2025 with $627.0M in total assets against $255.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$627.0M	$255.8M

3. AVEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AVEX compare to ACHR and AIR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVEX?

Where is AVEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVEX last traded at $13.43 (+10.17% on volume of 2,162,740 shares), positioning the stock -11.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.22) and -32.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.93). Across its 52-week range of $9.64 to $42.34, AVEX sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.75 to $15.11).

AVEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AVEX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AEVEX Corp. (Class A) (AVEX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AVEX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AVEX, spanning a range between $11.75 and $15.11.

Direct Sub-Reports: AVEX RQD Cockpit AVEX 12M Forecast AVEX Earnings & Move AVEX Dividends & DRIP AVEX Insiders & 13F AVEX Whale Options AVEX Profit Sankey AVEX News & Why