Highlights FDA End-of-Phase 2 meeting minutes confirmed the Phase 3 trial design and registrational pathway for ATH434 in Multiple System Atrophy (MSA)New U.S. composition of matter patent granted for ATH434, extending p
Why ATHE Stock surged +2.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ATHE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Alterity Therapeutics Limited (NASDAQ: ATHE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.23 (+2.93% 1D, market cap $40.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ATHE ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ATHE compare to GRCE and ALDX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ATHE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GRCE (Grace Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $40.8M) and ALDX (Aldeyra Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATHE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GRCE leads on capital efficiency (-18.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATHE?
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For Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #237 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATHE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, ATHE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.50) or 200D SMA ($3.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.23) toward Bear Floor ($1.74).
Why ATHE Stock surged +2.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) surged +2.93% to $2.23, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.01 – $5.89). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.01 – $5.89) with RSI-14 at 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.1M annual free cash flow.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATHE)
- ✓Walkthrough of ATHE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ATHE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATHE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATHE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATHE)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ATHE vs. GRCE, ALDX, DWTX, GRDX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #774 by equity capitalization ($40.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATHE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GRCE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ATHE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATHE
ACTIVE
Alterity Therapeutics Limited | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +2.93% | $40.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| GRCE Grace Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -18.9% | -3.48% | $40.8M | /grce-vs-athe → |
| ALDX Aldeyra Therapeutics Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.58% | $39.8M | /aldx-vs-athe → |
| DWTX Dogwood Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -32.3% | -0.81% | $41.8M | /dwtx-vs-athe → |
| GRDX GridAI Technologies Corp. | E | 26/100 | — | -30.0% | -20.0% | -5.38% | $38.9M | /grdx-vs-athe → |
2. ATHE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAlterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) operates in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $40.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ATHE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ATHE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Alterity Therapeutics Limited (NASDAQ: ATHE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.23 (+2.93% 1D, market cap $40.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ATHE ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ATHE compare to GRCE and ALDX in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ATHE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GRCE (Grace Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $40.8M) and ALDX (Aldeyra Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATHE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GRCE leads on capital efficiency (-18.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATHE?
For Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #237 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ATHE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ATHE last traded at $2.23 (+2.93% on volume of 3,791 shares), positioning the stock -36.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.50) and -43.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.98). Across its 52-week range of $2.01 to $5.89, ATHE sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.95 to $2.51).
ATHE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ATHE stock moving today?
Why ATHE Stock surged +2.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.