MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why ATER Stock surged +2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.76 +2.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76
Aterian Inc. (ATER) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $198.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76 (+0.27%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATER)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATER SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (39% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$0.61-8.2% Next Q
30
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$0.56+10.7% Next Q
33
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.62+22.6% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade D-$0.76-7.8% Hist 90D α
38
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATER Turnaround Squeeze
While ATER currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.61) and Max Pain ($0.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.96.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATER• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATER Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ATER Stock surged +2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aterian Inc. (ATER) surged +2.58% to $0.76, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $1.87). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $1.87) with RSI-14 at 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 56.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ATER Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATER)
- ✓Walkthrough of ATER's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ATER // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.00%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $0.76H $0.81L $0.75C $0.76VOL 186.7K
RES: $0.69SUP: $0.55SMA50: $0.61SMA200: $0.78
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ATER Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -30.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATER today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATER. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATER today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATER)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #855 of 1011
⚔️ BSET vs ATER Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ATER vs. BSET, HOFT, FLXS, HBB)
Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aterian Inc. (ATER) ranks #855 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #695 by equity capitalization ($198.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLXS leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while HBB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.3% ROIC and 25.7% gross margin. FLXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ATER at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATER
ACTIVE
Aterian Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 56.8% | -35.0% | +2.58% | $198.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| BSET Bassett Furniture Industries Incorporated | C | 65/100 | 32.4x | 56.3% | 5.0% | +4.30% | $197.4M | /bset-vs-ater → |
| HOFT Hooker Furnishings Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | 26.4% | -7.6% | +3.86% | $149.7M | /hoft-vs-ater → |
| FLXS Flexsteel Industries Inc. | B | 72/100 | 15.6x | 22.2% | 14.8% | +2.18% | $314.5M | /flxs-vs-ater → |
| HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company (Class A) | C | 63/100 | 16.5x | 25.7% | 21.3% | +3.21% | $437.0M | /hbb-vs-ater → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001757715In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aterian Inc. (ATER) reported GAAP revenue of $69.0M (-30.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $99.0M , and -51.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.0M, operating cash flow of -$10.9M, and free cash flow of -$10.9M (-615.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATER closed FY2025 with $29.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $69.0M | -$19.0M | -$10.9M | -$10.9M | $29.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $99.0M | -$11.9M | $2.2M | $2.1M | $49.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $142.6M | -$74.6M | -$13.4M | -$13.4M | — | — |
3. ATER Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ATER stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Aterian Inc. (NASDAQ: ATER) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (+2.58% 1D, market cap $198.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ATER ranks #855 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ATER compare to BSET and HOFT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), ATER carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BSET (Bassett Furniture Industries Incorporated) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $197.4M) and HOFT (Hooker Furnishings Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.6%, cap $149.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLXS leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while HBB leads on capital efficiency (21.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATER?
Per ATER's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001757715), Aterian Inc. generated $69.0M in revenue (-30.4% YoY), -$19.0M in net income, and -$10.9M in free cash flow against $29.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ATER trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ATER last traded at $0.76 (+2.58% on volume of 214,657 shares), positioning the stock +24.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.61) and -2.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.78). Across its 52-week range of $0.35 to $1.87, ATER sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.86).
ATER Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ATER stock moving today?
Why ATER Stock surged +2.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.