Why ASRV Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.91 -0.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.90

AmeriServ Financial Inc. (ASRV) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $83.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASRV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, AmeriServ Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: ASRV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $4.91 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $83.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ASRV ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASRV compare to UBCP and PBHC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ASRV carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.7%. By comparison, UBCP (United Bancorp Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.8x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $83.7M) and PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASRV?
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Per ASRV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000707605), AmeriServ Financial Inc. generated $14.6M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $3.2M in free cash flow against $1.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.90 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 21.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (7)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$6 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE ASRV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASRV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASRV SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$4.39+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$4.54+5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$4.77+2.9% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$4.91+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASRV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ASRV faces multiple-compression risk if 14.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.71) or 200D SMA ($4.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.02) toward Bear Floor ($3.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASRV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASRV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ASRV Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

AmeriServ Financial Inc. (ASRV) slipped -0.41% to $4.91, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($2.96 – $5.38). Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($2.96 – $5.38) with RSI-14 at 59 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.1% around $4.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.2M annual free cash flow.
Live ASRV Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASRV Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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ASRV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $4.88H $4.94L $4.50C $4.91VOL 18.8K
RES: $5.50SUP: $4.01SMA50: $4.71SMA200: $4.08
$5.53$4.91$4.30$3.68$3.07RES $5.50SUP $4.01$4.912026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASRV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASRV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASRV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASRV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASRV)

Financials Rank #359 of 1096 ⚔️ UBCP vs ASRV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ASRV vs. UBCP, PBHC, SSBI, AUBN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AmeriServ Financial Inc. (ASRV) ranks #359 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #981 by equity capitalization ($83.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UBCP leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while UBCP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ASRV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASRV ACTIVE
AmeriServ Financial Inc.
C 63/100 14.9x — 4.7% -0.41% $83.7M Benchmark Subject
UBCP
United Bancorp Inc.
C- 60/100 10.8x — 11.0% -3.02% $83.7M /ubcp-vs-asrv →
PBHC
Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)
D 51/100 — — -1.6% +1.68% $81.9M /pbhc-vs-asrv →
SSBI
Summit State Bank
C- 59/100 — — — -2.97% $78.6M /ssbi-vs-asrv →
AUBN
Auburn National Bancorporation Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — 0.00% $89.6M /aubn-vs-asrv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000707605

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AmeriServ Financial Inc. (ASRV) reported GAAP revenue of $14.6M (-6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.6M , and +1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.6M, operating cash flow of $3.2M, and free cash flow of $3.2M (+18.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASRV closed FY2025 with $1.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.6M $5.6M $3.2M $3.2M $1.45B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.6M $3.6M $2.7M $2.7M $1.42B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.5M -$3.3M $6.3M $6.3M — —

3. ASRV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASRV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AmeriServ Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: ASRV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $4.91 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $83.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ASRV ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASRV compare to UBCP and PBHC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ASRV carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.7%. By comparison, UBCP (United Bancorp Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.8x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $83.7M) and PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASRV?

Per ASRV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000707605), AmeriServ Financial Inc. generated $14.6M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), $5.6M in net income, and $3.2M in free cash flow against $1.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASRV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASRV last traded at $4.91 (-0.41% on volume of 18,785 shares), positioning the stock +4.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.71) and +20.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.96 to $5.38, ASRV sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($4.41 to $5.41).

ASRV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ASRV stock moving today?

Why ASRV Stock slipped -0.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 15x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASRV — AmeriServ Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASRV scores 63 out of 100, grade C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. Scored on ROIC of 4.7% and FCF yield of 3.81%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates modest returns on invested capital relative to the stock's cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Holder-level detail is not available in source data, so the drivers of this score cannot be traced further.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are referenced in the news section but not itemized in the holders data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20. Reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the strongest pillar and indicates the stock's market sensitivity is neutral rather than amplified.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Scored on Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the rating describes a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal. Upside drivers in the scoring are the market-regime fit and insider-activity pillars. The principal constraint is the low cash-engine score, which means the current price is not strongly supported by the cash-return metrics in this dataset. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the P/E of 14.9 (TTM) against a forward P/E of 13.9 and an EPS of 0.33. Investors weighing this name should note that the balance-sheet pillar sits mid-range rather than strong, and the rating does not imply a recommendation to buy or sell.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Q3 earnings improvement (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance headline reports a stock rise of 9% tied to Q3 earnings improving year over year.
  • Ameriprise partnership (CATALYST, GREEN): Multiple outlets report a partnership to expand wealth management.
  • Director holdings disclosure (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Stock Titan reports direct holdings of 41,663 shares for director Amy Bradley.
  • Pre-market move (CATALYST, GREEN): kalkine.ca reports a 5.83% pre-market gain.
  • Price slip (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A headline reports a 4.84% decline to $4.42 toward support.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk-watch items in the news are the intraday price reversal and the pressure toward support; the price shown in market data is $4.91 with a change of -0.41%.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder records are not available in the source data (analyst data and holders sections both report NONE). Director share-holding data is referenced in the news section only.

Open Questions

  • What is the cash and debt composition behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5 and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5?
  • Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period while net income is positive, and how is that reconciled?
  • What institutional and insider transactions underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the Q3 earnings figure behind the reported year-over-year improvement?
  • What is the size and revenue contribution of the Ameriprise wealth-management partnership?

ASRV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AmeriServ Financial Inc. (ASRV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASRV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASRV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.91?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASRV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASRV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $5.30 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASRV (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $4.91?

Welcome to the ASRV (AmeriServ Financial Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.93 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $4.91

Pump the brakes on ASRV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASRV, but look at what you are paying: 14.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AmeriServ Financial Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.79 (+17.9%)
Spot @ $4.91

ASRV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASRV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.91 (52-wk range $2.96 - $5.38), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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