Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASO / earnings

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Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.1% Move

$60.35 +2.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.72B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.1% Swing Band

±$4.28 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ASO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $6.12 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$6.05B	$376.8M	$222.1M	34.8%
FY 2024	2025-02-01	$5.93B	$418.4M	$328.5M	33.9%
FY 2023	2024-02-03	$6.16B	$519.2M	$258.6M	34.8%

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ASO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ASO
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ASO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $58.64H $60.35L $58.64C $60.35VOL 1.22M

RES: $63.07SUP: $39.85SMA50: $51.65SMA200: $52.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASO Butterfly Map → + Track ASO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #112 of 304 ⚔️ BBWI vs ASO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASO vs. BBWI, RH, FCFS, DKS)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO) ranks #112 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #288 by equity capitalization ($3.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBWI leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while BBWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 64.6% ROIC and 43.7% gross margin. BBWI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with ASO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASO ACTIVE Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc.	C+	69/100	9.9x	34.8%	17.4%	+2.92%	$3.72B	Benchmark Subject
BBWI Bath & Body Works Inc.	A-	81/100	7.1x	43.7%	64.6%	+5.27%	$4.59B	/bbwi-vs-aso →
RH RH	D+	57/100	22.9x	44.1%	15.1%	+3.95%	$2.85B	/rh-vs-aso →
FCFS FirstCash Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	24.4x	96.0%	7.3%	-1.16%	$8.06B	/fcfs-vs-aso →
DKS Dick's Sporting Goods Inc	D+	55/100	14.9x	32.9%	11.2%	+4.28%	$12.63B	/dks-vs-aso →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001817358

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO) reported GAAP revenue of $6.05B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.93B , and -1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $376.8M, operating cash flow of $434.8M, and free cash flow of $222.1M (-32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASO closed FY2025 with $5.28B in total assets against $480.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.90, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$6.05B	$376.8M	$434.8M	$222.1M	$5.28B	$480.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$5.93B	$418.4M	$528.1M	$328.5M	$4.90B	$482.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$6.16B	$519.2M	$535.8M	$258.6M	$7.39B	$1.73B

3. ASO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $60.35 (+2.92% 1D, market cap $3.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASO ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASO compare to BBWI and RH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), ASO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 34.8%, and ROIC of 17.4%. By comparison, BBWI (Bath & Body Works Inc.) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 64.6%, cap $4.59B) and RH (RH) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 22.9x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBWI leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while BBWI leads on capital efficiency (64.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASO?

Per ASO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001817358), Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. generated $6.05B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $376.8M in net income, and $222.1M in free cash flow against $5.28B in total assets and $480.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASO last traded at $60.35 (+2.92% on volume of 1,222,317 shares), positioning the stock +16.84% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.65) and +14.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($52.79). Across its 52-week range of $41.29 to $62.44, ASO sits at the 90.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($56.07 to $64.63).

ASO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ASO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc. (ASO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is ASO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.1% event move for ASO, spanning a range between $56.07 and $64.63.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASO RQD Cockpit ASO 12M Forecast ASO Earnings & Move ASO Dividends & DRIP ASO Insiders & 13F ASO Whale Options ASO Profit Sankey ASO News & Why