Stock Ratings / Financials / ASIC / financials

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Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$24.40 +5.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.58

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.17B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.58 (+0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 33.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASIC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$25.93+5.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$27.25-11.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$24.11+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$24.40+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASIC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, ASIC faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.37) or 200D SMA ($22.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.61) toward Bear Floor ($19.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ASIC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$140.7M (33.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY24

Rev $343.8M

FY25

Rev $424.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$424.3M	52%	0%	$74.0M	$140.7M	12%
FY 2024	$343.8M	52%	0%	$47.1M	$125.4M	12%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASIC)

✓Walkthrough of ASIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $24.72H $24.72L $23.67C $24.40VOL 86.4K

RES: $30.98SUP: $22.96SMA50: $26.37SMA200: $22.37

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASIC Butterfly Map → + Track ASIC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIC)

Financials Rank #184 of 1096 ⚔️ BOW vs ASIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ASIC vs. BOW, HRTG, IGIC, UVE)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #524 by equity capitalization ($1.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTG leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while HRTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HRTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with ASIC at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASIC ACTIVE Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings	C+	69/100	15.8x	—	12.0%	+5.08%	$1.17B	Benchmark Subject
BOW Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.	C	62/100	20.9x	—	12.0%	-0.23%	$1.12B	/bow-vs-asic →
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.	B+	79/100	5.5x	—	85.0%	+4.06%	$1.07B	/hrtg-vs-asic →
IGIC International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Share	D+	58/100	8.3x	—	17.9%	+1.69%	$1.06B	/igic-vs-asic →
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC	B	74/100	7.2x	—	33.2%	+3.44%	$1.32B	/uve-vs-asic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002040491

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) reported GAAP revenue of $424.3M (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.8M ) , GAAP net income of $74.0M, operating cash flow of $147.2M, and free cash flow of $140.7M (+12.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIC closed FY2025 with $1.47B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$424.3M	$74.0M	$147.2M	$140.7M	$1.47B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$343.8M	$47.1M	$125.6M	$125.4M	$1.12B	—

3. ASIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (NYSE: ASIC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $24.40 (+5.08% 1D, market cap $1.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ASIC ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIC compare to BOW and HRTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), ASIC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BOW (Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.12B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIC?

Per ASIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040491), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings generated $424.3M in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $74.0M in net income, and $140.7M in free cash flow against $1.47B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIC last traded at $24.40 (+5.08% on volume of 128,206 shares), positioning the stock -7.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.37) and +9.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.37). Across its 52-week range of $16.73 to $29.00, ASIC sits at the 62.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($22.37 to $26.43).

ASIC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ASIC converted $424.3M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $140.7M in free cash flow (33.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASIC RQD Cockpit ASIC 12M Forecast ASIC Earnings & Move ASIC Dividends & DRIP ASIC Insiders & 13F ASIC Whale Options ASIC Profit Sankey ASIC News & Why