Stock Ratings / Materials / ARQ / insiders

FSI (48) LNZA (41) AMTX (34) CITR (21) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Arq Inc. (ARQ) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.77 -4.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.75

Arq Inc. (ARQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $77.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Arq Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $1.77 (-4.32% 1D, market cap $77.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ARQ ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ARQ carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $79.8M) and LNZA (LanzaTech Global Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $73.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?

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Per ARQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001515156), Arq Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$52.6M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $231.0M in total assets and $8.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.75 (-0.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARQ SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.03-11.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.79-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.75+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.77-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARQ currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.02) and Max Pain ($1.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARQ Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARQ)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARQ. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARQ)

✓Walkthrough of ARQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ARQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.03%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.78H $1.79L $1.70C $1.77VOL 281.3K

RES: $1.95SUP: $1.64SMA50: $2.02SMA200: $2.48

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARQ Butterfly Map → + Track ARQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARQ)

Materials Rank #214 of 270 ⚔️ FSI vs ARQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ARQ vs. FSI, LNZA, AMTX, CITR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arq Inc. (ARQ) ranks #214 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #236 by equity capitalization ($77.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with ARQ at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARQ ACTIVE Arq Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-24.6%	-4.32%	$77.3M	Benchmark Subject
FSI Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)	D	48/100	101.5x	32.6%	8.5%	-3.40%	$79.8M	/fsi-vs-arq →
LNZA LanzaTech Global Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.72%	$73.0M	/lnza-vs-arq →
AMTX Aemetis Inc.	E	34/100	—	-0.4%	-35.0%	-0.77%	$93.1M	/amtx-vs-arq →
CITR CitroTech Inc.	E	21/100	—	22.3%	-35.0%	-5.97%	$62.9M	/citr-vs-arq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001515156

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arq Inc. (ARQ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$52.6M, operating cash flow of -$2.7M, and free cash flow of -$2.7M (-126.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARQ closed FY2025 with $231.0M in total assets against $8.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$52.6M	-$2.7M	-$2.7M	$231.0M	$8.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$5.1M	$10.5M	$10.5M	$284.4M	$9.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$12.2M	-$16.7M	-$16.7M	—	—

3. ARQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ARQ compare to FSI and LNZA in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQ?

Where is ARQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARQ last traded at $1.77 (-4.32% on volume of 221,278 shares), positioning the stock -12.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.02) and -28.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.48). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $6.73, ARQ sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($1.57 to $1.97).

ARQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ARQ insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARQ leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARQ RQD Cockpit ARQ 12M Forecast ARQ Earnings & Move ARQ Dividends & DRIP ARQ Insiders & 13F ARQ Whale Options ARQ Profit Sankey ARQ News & Why