MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ARKR Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.64 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63
Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $16.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARKR SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (31% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$4.47-2.2% Next Q
18
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.37+2.5% Next Q
21
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.48+3.6% Next Q
23
CurrentGrade E$4.64-10.5% Hist 90D α
26
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARKR Turnaround Squeeze
While ARKR currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.74) and Max Pain ($4.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.97.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ARKR Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) slipped 0.00% to $4.64, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.32 – $9.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.32 – $9.5) with RSI-14 at 69 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $4.64 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ARKR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARKR)
- ✓Walkthrough of ARKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.59H $5.11L $4.59C $4.64VOL 10.4K
RES: $5.24SUP: $4.02SMA50: $4.74SMA200: $6.02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ARKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARKR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARKR)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #984 of 1011
⚔️ CCHH vs ARKR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARKR vs. CCHH, GTIM, REBN, SDOT)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) ranks #984 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #893 by equity capitalization ($16.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ARKR at 26/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARKR
ACTIVE
Ark Restaurants Corp. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -13.1% | 0.00% | $16.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| CCHH CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A) | E | 23/100 | — | 19.3% | -21.4% | -3.98% | $19.0M | /cchh-vs-arkr → |
| GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. | D | 49/100 | 13.3x | — | 0.7% | 0.00% | $13.6M | /gtim-vs-arkr → |
| REBN Reborn Coffee Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 92.0% | -35.0% | -1.26% | $13.5M | /rebn-vs-arkr → |
| SDOT Sadot Group Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 1.9% | -35.0% | -3.50% | $23.1M | /sdot-vs-arkr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000779544In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) reported GAAP revenue of $165.8M (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $183.5M , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of $1.8M, and free cash flow of -$1.5M (-168.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARKR closed FY2025 with $130.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-27 | $165.8M | -$11.5M | $1.8M | -$1.5M | $130.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-28 | $183.5M | -$3.9M | $4.7M | $2.2M | $154.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $184.8M | -$5.9M | $8.4M | $8.4M | — | — |
3. ARKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (0.00% 1D, market cap $16.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #984 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARKR compare to CCHH and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $19.0M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?
Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARKR last traded at $4.64 (0.00% on volume of 180 shares), positioning the stock -2.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.74) and -22.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.02). Across its 52-week range of $4.32 to $9.50, ARKR sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($4.32 to $4.96).
ARKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ARKR stock moving today?
Why ARKR Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.