Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ARKR / forecast

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Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.64 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $16.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.63 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARKR SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$4.47-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.37+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.48+3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.64-10.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARKR currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.74) and Max Pain ($4.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ARKR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.64: 2155.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.10

$6,681

$-3,319 (-33.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.97

$8,556

$-1,444 (-14.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.97

$21,487

+$11,487 (+114.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$4	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$9	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$4	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARKR)

✓Walkthrough of ARKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ARKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.59H $5.11L $4.59C $4.64VOL 10.4K

RES: $5.24SUP: $4.02SMA50: $4.74SMA200: $6.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARKR Butterfly Map → + Track ARKR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARKR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #984 of 1011 ⚔️ CCHH vs ARKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARKR vs. CCHH, GTIM, REBN, SDOT)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) ranks #984 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #893 by equity capitalization ($16.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ARKR at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARKR ACTIVE Ark Restaurants Corp.	E	26/100	—	—	-13.1%	0.00%	$16.7M	Benchmark Subject
CCHH CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)	E	23/100	—	19.3%	-21.4%	-3.98%	$19.0M	/cchh-vs-arkr →
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc.	D	49/100	13.3x	—	0.7%	0.00%	$13.6M	/gtim-vs-arkr →
REBN Reborn Coffee Inc.	E	32/100	—	92.0%	-35.0%	-1.26%	$13.5M	/rebn-vs-arkr →
SDOT Sadot Group Inc.	E	31/100	—	1.9%	-35.0%	-3.50%	$23.1M	/sdot-vs-arkr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000779544

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) reported GAAP revenue of $165.8M (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $183.5M , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of $1.8M, and free cash flow of -$1.5M (-168.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARKR closed FY2025 with $130.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-27	$165.8M	-$11.5M	$1.8M	-$1.5M	$130.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-28	$183.5M	-$3.9M	$4.7M	$2.2M	$154.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$184.8M	-$5.9M	$8.4M	$8.4M	—	—

3. ARKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $4.64 (0.00% 1D, market cap $16.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #984 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARKR compare to CCHH and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $19.0M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?

Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARKR last traded at $4.64 (0.00% on volume of 180 shares), positioning the stock -2.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.74) and -22.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.02). Across its 52-week range of $4.32 to $9.50, ARKR sits at the 6.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($4.32 to $4.96).

ARKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARKR's 12-month stock price target?

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $3.97 (-14.4% from $4.64), with a bull-case target of $9.97 and a bear-case floor of $3.1.

Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ARKR E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 26/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARKR RQD Cockpit ARKR 12M Forecast ARKR Earnings & Move ARKR Dividends & DRIP ARKR Insiders & 13F ARKR Whale Options ARKR Profit Sankey ARKR News & Why