Why ARIS Stock dropped -3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.88 -3.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.75

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.28B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.75 (-0.80%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$24 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ARIS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARIS SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 46% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$17.33+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$17.44-11.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$15.46+2.7% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$15.88-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARIS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ARIS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.24) or 200D SMA ($17.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.74) toward Bear Floor ($12.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARIS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARIS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ARIS Stock dropped -3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) dropped -3.41% to $15.88, trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($9.55 – $23.29). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($9.55 – $23.29) with RSI-14 at 31.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $15.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $91.8M annual free cash flow.
Live ARIS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Aura Minerals Sinks 15% as Gold Miners Slide, GDX Down 5%

Key TakeawaysAura Minerals fell 15% today as gold slid below $4,000 and miners including Newmont, Agnico Eagle and Aris Mining sold off. Aura fell more than twice as hard as the gold miners ETF, a sign of how closely the

MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Aris Mining Announces Q3 2026 Earnings Release Date

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, October 21, 2026--Aris Mining Corporation (Aris Mining or the Company) (TSX: ARIS; NYSE: ARIS) will publish its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on Wednesday, November

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARIS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARIS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ARIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $15.05H $15.88L $14.14C $15.88VOL 2.54M
RES: $21.85SUP: $11.90SMA50: $18.24SMA200: $17.94
$22.05$19.65$17.26$14.86$12.47RES $21.85SUP $11.90$15.882026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARIS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARIS)

Industrials Rank #232 of 485 ⚔️ BELFB vs ARIS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARIS vs. BELFB, GEF, AAUC, BELFA)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) ranks #232 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #179 by equity capitalization ($3.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ARIS at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARIS ACTIVE
Aris Mining Corporation
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.41% $3.28B Benchmark Subject
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% +3.50% $3.40B /belfb-vs-aris →
GEF
Greif Inc. (Class A)
D+ 56/100 4.5x 22.2% 3.9% -0.31% $3.79B /gef-vs-aris →
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
D 50/100 — — — -2.67% $2.74B /aauc-vs-aris →
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)
B 75/100 36.5x 39.1% 15.5% +3.92% $2.70B /belfa-vs-aris →

2. ARIS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $3.28B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ARIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aris Mining Corporation (NYSE: ARIS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $15.88 (-3.41% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARIS ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARIS compare to BELFB and GEF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ARIS carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.40B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARIS?

For Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #232 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARIS last traded at $15.88 (-3.41% on volume of 1,545,864 shares), positioning the stock -12.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.24) and -11.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.94). Across its 52-week range of $9.55 to $23.29, ARIS sits at the 46.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($14.47 to $17.29).

ARIS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ARIS stock moving today?

Why ARIS Stock dropped -3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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