Stock Ratings / Health Care / APT / earnings

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Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.8% Move

$5.55 +1.28% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.55

Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $56.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.55 (+0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY APT SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.59 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$5.84-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$5.55+0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$5.56-0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$5.55+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, APT faces multiple-compression risk if 16.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.39) or 200D SMA ($5.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.55) toward Bear Floor ($4.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “APT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.8% Swing Band

±$0.54 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $0.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$59.1M	$3.5M	$1.7M	38.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$57.8M	$3.9M	$1.9M	39.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$4.2M	$8.5M	38.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APT)

✓Walkthrough of APT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

APT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.65%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $5.54H $5.55L $5.31C $5.55VOL 29.2K

RES: $6.47SUP: $5.06SMA50: $5.39SMA200: $5.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APT Butterfly Map → + Track APT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APT)

Health Care Rank #236 of 1016 ⚔️ MYO vs APT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (APT vs. MYO, COCH, NTRB, CNXU)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT) ranks #236 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #731 by equity capitalization ($56.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APT leads on earnings valuation at 16.2x trailing P/E, while APT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and 38.1% gross margin. APT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
APT ACTIVE Alpha Pro Tech Ltd.	D+	58/100	16.2x	38.1%	6.7%	+1.28%	$56.6M	Benchmark Subject
MYO Myomo Inc.	D-	37/100	—	65.7%	-35.0%	+3.18%	$51.5M	/myo-vs-apt →
COCH Envoy Medical Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-2.40%	$50.3M	/coch-vs-apt →
NTRB Nutriband Inc.	D-	40/100	—	27.8%	-35.0%	+3.75%	$80.7M	/ntrb-vs-apt →
CNXU Conexeu Sciences Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-1.74%	$85.8M	/cnxu-vs-apt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000884269

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT) reported GAAP revenue of $59.1M (+2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.8M ) , GAAP net income of $3.5M, operating cash flow of $2.4M, and free cash flow of $1.7M (-8.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, APT closed FY2025 with $74.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.59, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$59.1M	$3.5M	$2.4M	$1.7M	$74.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$57.8M	$3.9M	$5.7M	$1.9M	$73.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$4.2M	$8.5M	$8.5M	—	—

3. APT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (NYSE: APT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $5.55 (+1.28% 1D, market cap $56.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, APT ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APT compare to MYO and COCH in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), APT carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 38.1%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, MYO (Myomo Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $51.5M) and COCH (Envoy Medical Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APT leads on earnings multiple (16.2x) while APT leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APT?

Per APT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000884269), Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. generated $59.1M in revenue (+2.3% YoY), $3.5M in net income, and $1.7M in free cash flow against $74.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APT last traded at $5.55 (+1.28% on volume of 8,085 shares), positioning the stock +2.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.39) and +6.94% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.19). Across its 52-week range of $4.34 to $7.50, APT sits at the 38.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($5.01 to $6.09).

APT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is APT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Alpha Pro Tech Ltd. (APT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is APT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.8% event move for APT, spanning a range between $5.01 and $6.09.

Direct Sub-Reports: APT RQD Cockpit APT 12M Forecast APT Earnings & Move APT Dividends & DRIP APT Insiders & 13F APT Whale Options APT Profit Sankey APT News & Why