Stock Ratings / Technology / API / financials

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Agora Inc. (API) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.45 -0.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44

Agora Inc. (API) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $372.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 18.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for API)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY API SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$4.08+6.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.35+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.45+0% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$4.45+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the API Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, API faces multiple-compression risk if 39.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.22) or 200D SMA ($4.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.47) toward Bear Floor ($3.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $API• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “API Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How API Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$25.5M (18.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $141.5M

FY24

Rev $133.3M

FY25

Rev $141.1M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$141.1M	66.4%	-6.7%	$9.5M	$25.5M	-1.5%
FY 2024	$133.3M	64.1%	-40%	-$42.7M	-$16.7M	-7.7%
FY 2023	$141.5M	66.4%	-61.7%	-$87.2M	-$13.6M	-1.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring API)

✓Walkthrough of API's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

API // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $4.39H $4.45L $4.30C $4.45VOL 156.7K

RES: $4.54SUP: $4.02SMA50: $4.22SMA200: $4.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

API Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 API Butterfly Map → + Track API →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on API today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for API. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for API today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (API)

Technology Rank #267 of 714 ⚔️ CRNC vs API Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (API vs. CRNC, LAW, MTLS, MKTW)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agora Inc. (API) ranks #267 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #431 by equity capitalization ($372.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, API leads on earnings valuation at 39.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. API currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
API ACTIVE Agora Inc.	C-	59/100	39.1x	66.4%	-1.5%	-0.22%	$372.8M	Benchmark Subject
CRNC Cerence Inc.	D	45/100	—	72.7%	-0.6%	-3.42%	$370.4M	/crnc-vs-api →
LAW CS Disco Inc.	D-	35/100	—	74.9%	-35.0%	+0.95%	$344.1M	/law-vs-api →
MTLS Materialise NV	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+6.79%	$427.6M	/mtls-vs-api →
MKTW MarketWise Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	56.1x	86.5%	85.0%	-1.04%	$315.0M	/mktw-vs-api →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001802883

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agora Inc. (API) reported GAAP revenue of $141.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $133.3M , and -0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.5M, operating cash flow of $27.2M, and free cash flow of $25.5M (+253.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, API closed FY2025 with $721.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.98, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$141.1M	$9.5M	$27.2M	$25.5M	$721.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$133.3M	-$42.7M	-$14.1M	-$16.7M	$699.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$141.5M	-$87.2M	-$13.6M	-$13.6M	—	—

3. API Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is API stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Agora Inc. (NASDAQ: API) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $4.45 (-0.22% 1D, market cap $372.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, API ranks #267 in composite RQD confidence.

How does API compare to CRNC and LAW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), API carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.1x, gross margin of 66.4%, and ROIC of -1.5%. By comparison, CRNC (Cerence Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $370.4M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $344.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, API leads on earnings multiple (39.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for API?

Per API's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802883), Agora Inc. generated $141.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $9.5M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $721.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is API trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

API last traded at $4.45 (-0.22% on volume of 75,856 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.22) and +7.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.15). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $5.50, API sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($4.10 to $4.80).

API Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Agora Inc. (API)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), API converted $141.1M of revenue into a 66.4% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $25.5M in free cash flow (18.1% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: API RQD Cockpit API 12M Forecast API Earnings & Move API Dividends & DRIP API Insiders & 13F API Whale Options API Profit Sankey API News & Why