Stock Ratings / Industrials / AP / financials

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Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$8.44 -2.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.38

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $174.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.38 (-0.67%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AP SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.25-10.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$8.26-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$7.85+7.5% Next Q

Current

Grade E$8.44-11.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AP currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.60) and Max Pain ($8.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AP Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $415.3M

FY24

Rev $402.8M

FY25

Rev $416.3M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$416.3M	52%	-13.1%	-$66.1M	-$8.1M	-45%
FY 2024	$402.8M	52%	3%	$438.0K	$5.8M	22.1%
FY 2023	$415.3M	52%	-8.3%	-$39.9M	-$3.7M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AP)

✓Walkthrough of AP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.71%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $8.21H $8.44L $7.58C $8.44VOL 76.6K

RES: $9.69SUP: $7.42SMA50: $8.60SMA200: $8.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AP Butterfly Map → + Track AP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AP)

Industrials Rank #483 of 485 ⚔️ GRC vs AP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AP vs. GRC, FLS, GGG, IEX)

Industry: Fluid Controls (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) ranks #483 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #355 by equity capitalization ($174.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGG leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while GGG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.3% ROIC and 52.5% gross margin. IEX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AP at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AP ACTIVE Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation	E	21/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.65%	$174.4M	Benchmark Subject
GRC Gorman-Rupp Company	B	73/100	37.1x	30.6%	11.3%	-0.61%	$1.96B	/grc-vs-ap →
FLS Flowserve Corporation	B-	70/100	29.4x	33.4%	10.7%	+11.89%	$10.19B	/fls-vs-ap →
GGG Graco Inc.	B-	71/100	21.1x	52.5%	24.3%	+2.37%	$11.03B	/ggg-vs-ap →
IEX IDEX Corporation	B	75/100	36.4x	44.5%	10.5%	+0.33%	$17.58B	/iex-vs-ap →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000006176

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) reported GAAP revenue of $416.3M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $402.8M , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$66.1M, operating cash flow of $1.3M, and free cash flow of -$8.1M (-238.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AP closed FY2025 with $495.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.58, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$416.3M	-$66.1M	$1.3M	-$8.1M	$495.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$402.8M	$438.0K	$18.0M	$5.8M	$530.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$415.3M	-$39.9M	-$3.7M	-$3.7M	—	—

3. AP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (NYSE: AP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $8.44 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $174.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AP ranks #483 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AP compare to GRC and FLS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Fluid Controls), AP carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRC (Gorman-Rupp Company) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 37.1x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $1.96B) and FLS (Flowserve Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $10.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGG leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while GGG leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AP?

Per AP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000006176), Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation generated $416.3M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), -$66.1M in net income, and -$8.1M in free cash flow against $495.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AP last traded at $8.44 (-2.65% on volume of 67,885 shares), positioning the stock -1.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.60) and -3.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $1.75 to $12.81, AP sits at the 60.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($7.42 to $9.46).

AP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AP converted $416.3M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: AP RQD Cockpit AP 12M Forecast AP Earnings & Move AP Dividends & DRIP AP Insiders & 13F AP Whale Options AP Profit Sankey AP News & Why