MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) This Year?Here is how American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) and Cinemark Holdings (CNK) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Why AOUT Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.35 +1.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.37
American Outdoor Brands Inc. (AOUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $231.6M
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Is AOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, American Outdoor Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: AOUT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $18.35 (+1.52% 1D, market cap $231.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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How does AOUT compare to ESCA and CLAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), AOUT carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, ESCA (Escalade Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $277.2M) and CLAR (Clarus Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.5%, cap $171.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOUT?
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Per AOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001808997), American Outdoor Brands Inc. generated $190.5M in revenue (-14.3% YoY), -$9.2M in net income, and $4.3M in free cash flow against $225.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.36 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AOUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AOUT SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($4.3M FCF) & 44.7% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$16.50+9.5% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$18.06-3.9% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$17.35+5.8% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D+$18.35-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AOUT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, AOUT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.46) or 200D SMA ($11.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.10) toward Bear Floor ($14.12).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AOUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AOUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AOUT Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Outdoor Brands Inc. (AOUT) advanced +1.52% to $18.35, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($6.26 – $18.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($6.26 – $18.48) with RSI-14 at 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $18.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 44.7% gross margin and $4.3M annual free cash flow.
Live AOUT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Here's Why Momentum in American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) Should Keep goingIf you are looking for stocks that are well positioned to maintain their recent uptrend, American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) could be a great choice. It is one of the several stocks that passed through our "Recent Price Stren
CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Zacks.com featured highlights include Vince, Vera Bradley, Forum Energy, American Outdoor Brands and Swire PacificVNCE, VRA, FET, AOUT and SWRAY have posted recent price gains, with rising earnings estimates and strong projected growth drawing attention amid October volatility.
CATALYSTYahoo • 10d ago
5 Stocks With Recent Price Strength Amid a Volatile OctoberFive stocks showing recent price strength include VNCE, VRA, FET, AOUT and SWRAY, with strong momentum and improving earnings estimates.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Do Options Traders Know Something About American Outdoor Stock We Don't?Investors need to pay close attention to AOUT stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AOUT)
- ✓Walkthrough of AOUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AOUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +95.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $18.24H $18.47L $17.89C $18.35VOL 160.3K
RES: $18.98SUP: $10.42SMA50: $15.46SMA200: $11.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AOUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AOUT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AOUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AOUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AOUT)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #548 of 1011
⚔️ ESCA vs AOUT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AOUT vs. ESCA, CLAR, BBW, JAKK)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Outdoor Brands Inc. (AOUT) ranks #548 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #676 by equity capitalization ($231.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with AOUT at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOUT
ACTIVE
American Outdoor Brands Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 44.7% | -4.6% | +1.52% | $231.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| ESCA Escalade Incorporated | B+ | 79/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | +8.63% | $277.2M | /esca-vs-aout → |
| CLAR Clarus Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | 33.1% | -29.5% | +4.42% | $171.9M | /clar-vs-aout → |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | A- | 83/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +9.18% | $338.5M | /bbw-vs-aout → |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -0.62% | $372.0M | /jakk-vs-aout → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0001808997In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), American Outdoor Brands Inc. (AOUT) reported GAAP revenue of $190.5M (-14.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $222.3M , and -5.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.2M, operating cash flow of $6.3M, and free cash flow of $4.3M (+338.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AOUT closed FY2025 with $225.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.23, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-04-30 | $190.5M | -$9.2M | $6.3M | $4.3M | $225.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-04-30 | $222.3M | -$77.0K | $1.4M | -$1.8M | $245.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-04-30 | $201.1M | -$12.2M | $24.5M | $24.5M | — | — |
3. AOUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AOUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, American Outdoor Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: AOUT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $18.35 (+1.52% 1D, market cap $231.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AOUT ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AOUT compare to ESCA and CLAR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), AOUT carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, ESCA (Escalade Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $277.2M) and CLAR (Clarus Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.5%, cap $171.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AOUT?
Per AOUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001808997), American Outdoor Brands Inc. generated $190.5M in revenue (-14.3% YoY), -$9.2M in net income, and $4.3M in free cash flow against $225.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AOUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AOUT last traded at $18.35 (+1.52% on volume of 262,512 shares), positioning the stock +18.69% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.46) and +59.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.53). Across its 52-week range of $6.26 to $18.48, AOUT sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($16.70 to $20.00).
AOUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AOUT stock moving today?
Why AOUT Stock advanced +1.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.