Annovis Bio Inc. (ANVS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.02 0.00% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02

Annovis Bio Inc. (ANVS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $43.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target
$6 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ANVS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ANVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ANVS SCORES 40/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$1.21-18.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$0.99+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$1.00+2% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$1.02-7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (48) β†’ D- (40)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ANVS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ANVS currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.26) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.78.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ANVSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œANVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ANVS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ANVS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ANVS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ANVS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ANVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.22%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.02H $1.17L $1.01C $1.02VOL 1.49M
RES: $1.55SUP: $0.72SMA50: $1.26SMA200: $1.92
$2.79$2.29$1.78$1.28$0.77RES $1.55SUP $0.72$1.022026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ANVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ANVS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ANVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ANVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ANVS)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ANVS vs. BMEA, DWTX, GRCE, ATHE)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Annovis Bio Inc. (ANVS) ranks #650 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #767 by equity capitalization ($43.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANVS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GRCE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ATHE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with ANVS at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ANVS ACTIVE
Annovis Bio Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% 0.00% $43.5M Benchmark Subject
BMEA
Biomea Fusion Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.84% $45.1M /bmea-vs-anvs β†’
DWTX
Dogwood Therapeutics Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” β€” -32.3% -0.81% $41.8M /dwtx-vs-anvs β†’
GRCE
Grace Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -18.9% -3.48% $40.8M /grce-vs-anvs β†’
ATHE
Alterity Therapeutics Limited
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” β€” +2.93% $40.7M /athe-vs-anvs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001477845

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Annovis Bio Inc. (ANVS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$28.9M, operating cash flow of -$25.6M, and free cash flow of -$25.6M (-17.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ANVS closed FY2025 with $21.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$28.9M -$25.6M -$25.6M $21.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$24.6M -$21.9M -$21.9M $13.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$56.2M -$40.0M -$40.0M β€” β€”

3. ANVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ANVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Annovis Bio Inc. (NYSE: ANVS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (0.00% 1D, market cap $43.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ANVS ranks #650 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ANVS compare to BMEA and DWTX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ANVS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BMEA (Biomea Fusion Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.1M) and DWTX (Dogwood Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.3%, cap $41.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANVS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GRCE leads on capital efficiency (-18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ANVS?

Per ANVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477845), Annovis Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$28.9M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $21.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ANVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ANVS last traded at $1.02 (0.00% on volume of 1,482,588 shares), positioning the stock -19.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.26) and -46.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.92). Across its 52-week range of $0.93 to $5.50, ANVS sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

ANVS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ANVS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ANVS.

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