American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$28.05 -0.50% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.97

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.36B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.97 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$64 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AMSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AMSC SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.46 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 3.8% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$30.52-15.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$25.67-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$25.12+11.7% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$28.05-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMSC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AMSC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.74) and Max Pain ($29.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $64.36.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMSCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAMSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AMSC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AMSC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMSC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AMSC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.61%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $26.28H $28.05L $26.16C $28.05VOL 856.2K
RES: $31.16SUP: $22.86SMA50: $28.74SMA200: $35.35
$62.71$52.24$41.77$31.30$20.83RES $31.16SUP $22.86$28.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMSC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMSC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #637 of 1011 βš”οΈ FELE vs AMSC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMSC vs. FELE, GNRC, INIO, SCWO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) ranks #637 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #471 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMSC leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while INIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. FELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with AMSC at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMSC ACTIVE
American Superconductor Corporation
D 50/100 10.2x 30.5% 2.2% -0.50% $1.36B Benchmark Subject
FELE
Franklin Electric Co. Inc.
C 62/100 29.1x 35.5% 13.2% +0.09% $4.27B /fele-vs-amsc β†’
GNRC
Generac Holdlings Inc.
D+ 53/100 74.3x 38.3% 6.6% +1.00% $12.00B /gnrc-vs-amsc β†’
INIO
INNIO N.V.
D 47/100 32.8x β€” 18.6% -4.52% $13.14B /inio-vs-amsc β†’
SCWO
374Water Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -0.40% $44.1M /scwo-vs-amsc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0000880807

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) reported GAAP revenue of $299.2M (+34.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $222.8M ) , GAAP net income of $133.8M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $18.3M (-29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMSC closed FY2025 with $719.5M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.46, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $299.2M $133.8M $23.1M $18.3M $719.5M $6.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $222.8M -$133.81B $28.3M $25.9M $310.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $0 $6.03B $2.1M $2.1M β€” β€”

3. AMSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Superconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: AMSC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $28.05 (-0.50% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMSC ranks #637 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMSC compare to FELE and GNRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), AMSC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.27B) and GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $12.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMSC?

Per AMSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000880807), American Superconductor Corporation generated $299.2M in revenue (+34.3% YoY), $133.8M in net income, and $18.3M in free cash flow against $719.5M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMSC last traded at $28.05 (-0.50% on volume of 622,042 shares), positioning the stock -2.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.74) and -20.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.35). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $61.30, AMSC sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.3% ($24.60 to $31.50).

AMSC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is AMSC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AMSC.

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