Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AMSC / forecast

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American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$28.05 -0.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.97

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.36B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.97 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMSC SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.46 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 3.8% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$30.52-15.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$25.67-2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$25.12+11.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$28.05-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMSC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMSC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.74) and Max Pain ($29.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $64.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMSC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AMSC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $28.05: 356.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $21.09

$7,519

$-2,481 (-24.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $27.04

$9,640

$-360 (-3.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $64.36

$22,945

+$12,945 (+129.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$28	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$60	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$24	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMSC)

✓Walkthrough of AMSC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.61%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $26.28H $28.05L $26.16C $28.05VOL 856.2K

RES: $31.16SUP: $22.86SMA50: $28.74SMA200: $35.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMSC Butterfly Map → + Track AMSC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMSC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMSC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #637 of 1011 ⚔️ FELE vs AMSC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMSC vs. FELE, GNRC, INIO, SCWO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) ranks #637 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #471 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMSC leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while INIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with AMSC at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMSC ACTIVE American Superconductor Corporation	D	50/100	10.2x	30.5%	2.2%	-0.50%	$1.36B	Benchmark Subject
FELE Franklin Electric Co. Inc.	C	62/100	29.1x	35.5%	13.2%	+0.09%	$4.27B	/fele-vs-amsc →
GNRC Generac Holdlings Inc.	D+	53/100	74.3x	38.3%	6.6%	+1.00%	$12.00B	/gnrc-vs-amsc →
INIO INNIO N.V.	D	47/100	32.8x	—	18.6%	-4.52%	$13.14B	/inio-vs-amsc →
SCWO 374Water Inc.	D-	37/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-0.40%	$44.1M	/scwo-vs-amsc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000880807

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) reported GAAP revenue of $299.2M (+34.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $222.8M ) , GAAP net income of $133.8M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $18.3M (-29.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMSC closed FY2025 with $719.5M in total assets against $6.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.46, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$299.2M	$133.8M	$23.1M	$18.3M	$719.5M	$6.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$222.8M	-$133.81B	$28.3M	$25.9M	$310.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$0	$6.03B	$2.1M	$2.1M	—	—

3. AMSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Superconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: AMSC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $28.05 (-0.50% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMSC ranks #637 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMSC compare to FELE and GNRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), AMSC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, FELE (Franklin Electric Co. Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 29.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.27B) and GNRC (Generac Holdlings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 74.3x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $12.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while INIO leads on capital efficiency (18.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMSC?

Per AMSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000880807), American Superconductor Corporation generated $299.2M in revenue (+34.3% YoY), $133.8M in net income, and $18.3M in free cash flow against $719.5M in total assets and $6.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMSC last traded at $28.05 (-0.50% on volume of 622,042 shares), positioning the stock -2.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.74) and -20.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.35). Across its 52-week range of $24.08 to $61.30, AMSC sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($24.60 to $31.50).

AMSC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AMSC's 12-month stock price target?

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $27.04 (-3.6% from $28.05), with a bull-case target of $64.36 and a bear-case floor of $21.09.

Is AMSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AMSC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 50/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMSC RQD Cockpit AMSC 12M Forecast AMSC Earnings & Move AMSC Dividends & DRIP AMSC Insiders & 13F AMSC Whale Options AMSC Profit Sankey AMSC News & Why