Why AMBQ Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why AMBQ Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) slipped -1.93% to $53.80, trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($22.12 – $91.61). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($22.12 – $91.61) with RSI-14 at 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $53.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 44.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
FormFactor (FORM) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +20.93% and +3.68%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
AUSTIN, Texas, October 20, 2026--Ambiq Micro to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMBQ)
- ✓Walkthrough of AMBQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AMBQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBQ today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMBQ)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMBQ vs. WOLF, SHLS, ICHR, AIP)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) ranks #573 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #334 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. ICHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with AMBQ at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBQ
ACTIVE
Ambiq Micro Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 44.3% | -35.0% | -1.93% | $1.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| WOLF Wolfspeed Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | 0.7% | -6.34% | $1.32B | /wolf-vs-ambq → |
| SHLS Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 37.8x | 35.0% | 7.5% | -0.13% | $1.27B | /shls-vs-ambq → |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings | D | 46/100 | — | 9.3% | -4.5% | -1.51% | $1.59B | /ichr-vs-ambq → |
| AIP Arteris Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 90.2% | -35.0% | -3.92% | $1.01B | /aip-vs-ambq → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001500412In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) reported GAAP revenue of $72.5M (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $76.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of -$19.7M, and free cash flow of -$19.7M (+8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMBQ closed FY2025 with $184.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $72.5M | -$36.5M | -$19.7M | -$19.7M | $184.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $76.1M | -$39.7M | -$21.4M | -$21.4M | $104.3M | — |
3. AMBQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AMBQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ambiq Micro Inc. (NYSE: AMBQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $53.80 (-1.93% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMBQ ranks #573 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AMBQ compare to WOLF and SHLS in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMBQ carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.32B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBQ?
Per AMBQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500412), Ambiq Micro Inc. generated $72.5M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and -$19.7M in free cash flow against $184.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AMBQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AMBQ last traded at $53.80 (-1.93% on volume of 240,291 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($59.41) and +0.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($53.68). Across its 52-week range of $22.12 to $91.61, AMBQ sits at the 45.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($47.08 to $60.52).
AMBQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AMBQ stock moving today?
Why AMBQ Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.