Stock Ratings / Technology / AMBQ / forecast

WOLF (42) SHLS (42) ICHR (46) AIP (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$53.80 -1.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.30B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMBQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AMBQ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $53.80: 185.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $38.19

$7,099

$-2,901 (-29.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $48.96

$9,100

$-900 (-9.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $96.19

$17,879

+$7,879 (+78.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$51	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$90	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$44	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMBQ)

✓Walkthrough of AMBQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMBQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $49.65H $53.80L $46.25C $53.80VOL 308.4K

RES: $77.84SUP: $45.97SMA50: $59.41SMA200: $53.68

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMBQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMBQ Butterfly Map → + Track AMBQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMBQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMBQ)

Technology Rank #573 of 714 ⚔️ WOLF vs AMBQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMBQ vs. WOLF, SHLS, ICHR, AIP)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) ranks #573 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #334 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SHLS leads on earnings valuation at 37.8x trailing P/E, while SHLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.5% ROIC and 35.0% gross margin. ICHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with AMBQ at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMBQ ACTIVE Ambiq Micro Inc.	D-	38/100	—	44.3%	-35.0%	-1.93%	$1.30B	Benchmark Subject
WOLF Wolfspeed Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	0.7%	-6.34%	$1.32B	/wolf-vs-ambq →
SHLS Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	37.8x	35.0%	7.5%	-0.13%	$1.27B	/shls-vs-ambq →
ICHR Ichor Holdings	D	46/100	—	9.3%	-4.5%	-1.51%	$1.59B	/ichr-vs-ambq →
AIP Arteris Inc.	D-	38/100	—	90.2%	-35.0%	-3.92%	$1.01B	/aip-vs-ambq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001500412

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) reported GAAP revenue of $72.5M (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $76.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of -$19.7M, and free cash flow of -$19.7M (+8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMBQ closed FY2025 with $184.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$72.5M	-$36.5M	-$19.7M	-$19.7M	$184.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$76.1M	-$39.7M	-$21.4M	-$21.4M	$104.3M	—

3. AMBQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMBQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ambiq Micro Inc. (NYSE: AMBQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $53.80 (-1.93% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMBQ ranks #573 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMBQ compare to WOLF and SHLS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMBQ carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WOLF (Wolfspeed Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.32B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SHLS leads on earnings multiple (37.8x) while SHLS leads on capital efficiency (7.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBQ?

Per AMBQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500412), Ambiq Micro Inc. generated $72.5M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and -$19.7M in free cash flow against $184.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMBQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMBQ last traded at $53.80 (-1.93% on volume of 240,291 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($59.41) and +0.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($53.68). Across its 52-week range of $22.12 to $91.61, AMBQ sits at the 45.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($47.08 to $60.52).

AMBQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AMBQ's 12-month stock price target?

Ambiq Micro Inc. (AMBQ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $48.96 (-9% from $53.80), with a bull-case target of $96.19 and a bear-case floor of $38.19.