TradingView report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AKBA Stock dropped -4.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AKBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: AKBA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-4.81% 1D, market cap $205.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AKBA ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AKBA compare to RNAC and PRQR in the Health Care sector?
▼
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AKBA carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 83.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, RNAC (Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $204.2M) and PRQR (ProQR Therapeutics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NATR leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while AKBA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKBA?
▼
Per AKBA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517022), Akebia Therapeutics Inc. generated $236.2M in revenue (+47.5% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and $67.7M in free cash flow against $376.6M in total assets and $48.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (83% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.7% FCF Margin ($67.7M FCF) & 83.3% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.2) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AKBA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AKBA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.85) or 200D SMA ($1.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.71) toward Bear Floor ($0.55).
Why AKBA Stock dropped -4.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) dropped -4.81% to $0.71, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($0.54 – $2.22). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($0.54 – $2.22) with RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.71 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 83.3% gross margin and $67.7M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Vadadustat demonstrated a clinically meaningful safety outcome benefit in U.S. patients with anemia due to CKD on dialysis utilizing TIW dosing regimenWALTHAM, Mass., Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Akebia Therapeutics
Gainers Surgery Partners (NASDAQ:SGRY) shares moved upwards by 46.9% to $23.14 during Monday's regular session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.0 billion. SciSparc (NASDAQ:SPRC) shares rose
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AKBA)
- ✓Walkthrough of AKBA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AKBA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +47.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AKBA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AKBA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AKBA)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AKBA vs. RNAC, PRQR, KRRO, NATR)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #573 by equity capitalization ($205.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NATR leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while AKBA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 83.3% gross margin. NATR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with AKBA at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKBA
ACTIVE
Akebia Therapeutics Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 83.3% | 85.0% | -4.81% | $205.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| RNAC Cartesian Therapeutics Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.85% | $204.2M | /rnac-vs-akba → |
| PRQR ProQR Therapeutics N.V. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -3.47% | $203.2M | /prqr-vs-akba → |
| KRRO Korro Bio Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.81% | $209.1M | /krro-vs-akba → |
| NATR Nature's Sunshine Products Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 11.1x | 72.4% | 28.9% | -0.24% | $216.1M | /natr-vs-akba → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001517022In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) reported GAAP revenue of $236.2M (+47.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $160.2M , and +21.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.3M, operating cash flow of $68.0M, and free cash flow of $67.7M (+266.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AKBA closed FY2025 with $376.6M in total assets against $48.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $236.2M | -$5.3M | $68.0M | $67.7M | $376.6M | $48.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $160.2M | -$69.4M | -$40.7M | -$40.7M | $220.7M | $38.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $194.6M | -$51.9M | -$23.4M | -$23.4M | — | — |
3. AKBA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AKBA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: AKBA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-4.81% 1D, market cap $205.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AKBA ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AKBA compare to RNAC and PRQR in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AKBA carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 83.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, RNAC (Cartesian Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $204.2M) and PRQR (ProQR Therapeutics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NATR leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while AKBA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKBA?
Per AKBA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517022), Akebia Therapeutics Inc. generated $236.2M in revenue (+47.5% YoY), -$5.3M in net income, and $67.7M in free cash flow against $376.6M in total assets and $48.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (83% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AKBA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AKBA last traded at $0.71 (-4.81% on volume of 2,776,910 shares), positioning the stock -16.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.85) and -38.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.15). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $2.22, AKBA sits at the 10.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.80).
AKBA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AKBA stock moving today?
Why AKBA Stock dropped -4.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AKBA — Akebia Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AKBA scores 57 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 15 out of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%), suggesting that the return on invested capital is strong on the rating's measure while free cash flow yield is zero. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 13 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning; the source does not itemize the underlying holdings. The insider conviction pillar scores 10 out of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The macro regime fit pillar scores 9 out of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.48), the weakest pillar relative to its maximum, and the Altman Z-Score reading is the most significant distress signal in the source. For a prospective investor, the rating frames a profile with a high-return headline metric alongside weak balance sheet and macro-fit scores, with the verdict advising trimming. The rating is an analytical summary and not personalized advice.
Business
Akebia Therapeutics Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.2B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond the reported financial lines and gross margin of 83.3%.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $236.2M | $23.5M | $-5.3M | N/A | $67.7M | $184.8M | $48.2M |
| FY 2024 | $160.2M | $-50.5M | $-69.4M | N/A | $-40.7M | $51.9M | $38.7M |
| FY 2023 | $194.6M | $-46.3M | $-51.9M | N/A | $-23.4M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 9.9% and net margin is -2.2%, with gross margin at 83.3%. ROIC is 85% per the market data, and the FCF yield is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7 out of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 1.48 per the same rating, and the source does not provide a further breakdown of balance sheet posture.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire lists six items, each tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label: a TradingView estimates report, a StockInvest.us price forecast, a Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart, a MarketBeat report stating an average target price of $3.90, a Stock Titan report on a compliance deadline after 30 business days below $1, and a Yahoo Finance notice that the company will report third quarter 2026 financial results and discuss recent business highlights. The compliance-deadline item is the most material risk watch item, since the share price of 0.71 sits below $1. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the specific terms and timeline of the compliance deadline referenced in the news wire, and what is the company's plan to address it?
- What drives the gap between the 85% ROIC and the 0% FCF yield, and how does FY 2025 free cash flow of $67.7M reconcile with the 0% yield?
- What is the source for the MarketBeat average target price of $3.90, and how does it compare to the current price of 0.71?
- Which products or revenue streams produced the FY 2025 revenue of $236.2M, and what is the company's pipeline?
- What are the EPS figures, which the source reports as N/A for every period?
AKBA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GlobeNewswire report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Akebia Therapeutics Inc. (AKBA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AKBA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.71?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AKBA (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $0.71?
Welcome to the AKBA (Akebia Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on AKBA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AKBA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 83.3% gross margins. Unless Akebia Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
AKBA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AKBA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.71 (52-wk range $0.54 - $2.22), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.