Air T Inc. (AIRT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$27.90 -1.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.77

Air T Inc. (AIRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $75.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Air T Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $27.90 (-1.45% 1D, market cap $75.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIRT ranks #803 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIRT compare to FJET and VLRS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AIRT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FJET (Starfighters Space Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $48.0M) and VLRS (Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $720.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRT?
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Per AIRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000353184), Air T Inc. generated $327.1M in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $78.0M in net income, and -$41.5M in free cash flow against $381.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.77 (-0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (13)SEC (4)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$37 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE AIRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIRT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (36% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 57% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$30.55-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$28.04-7.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$25.91+7.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$27.90-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIRT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.68) and Max Pain ($29.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AIRT Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AIRT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AIRT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $27.59H $28.35L $27.00C $27.90VOL 30.3K
RES: $34.83SUP: $25.56SMA50: $29.68SMA200: $25.16
$36.04$31.73$27.42$23.11$18.80RES $34.83SUP $25.56$27.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #803 of 1011 ⚔️ FJET vs AIRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AIRT vs. FJET, VLRS, AZUL, RJET)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Air T Inc. (AIRT) ranks #803 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #778 by equity capitalization ($75.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJET leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while RJET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. AZUL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AIRT at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIRT ACTIVE
Air T Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -1.45% $75.9M Benchmark Subject
FJET
Starfighters Space Inc.
D 45/100 — — -35.0% +1.43% $48.0M /fjet-vs-airt →
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates
D 45/100 — — — +3.39% $720.4M /vlrs-vs-airt →
AZUL
Azul S.A. each representing two (2)
D 48/100 — — — +3.63% $773.6M /azul-vs-airt →
RJET
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 12.3x — 11.1% -3.25% $935.0M /rjet-vs-airt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000353184

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Air T Inc. (AIRT) reported GAAP revenue of $327.1M (+12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $291.9M , and +14.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.0M, operating cash flow of -$25.0M, and free cash flow of -$41.5M (-285.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRT closed FY2025 with $381.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.87, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $327.1M $78.0M -$25.0M -$41.5M $381.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $291.9M -$6.1M $23.5M $22.4M $187.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $286.8M -$6.8M $17.2M $17.2M — —

3. AIRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Air T Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $27.90 (-1.45% 1D, market cap $75.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIRT ranks #803 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIRT compare to FJET and VLRS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AIRT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FJET (Starfighters Space Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $48.0M) and VLRS (Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $720.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRT?

Per AIRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000353184), Air T Inc. generated $327.1M in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $78.0M in net income, and -$41.5M in free cash flow against $381.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIRT last traded at $27.90 (-1.45% on volume of 30,309 shares), positioning the stock -6.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.68) and +10.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.16). Across its 52-week range of $18.35 to $35.00, AIRT sits at the 57.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($24.80 to $31.00).

AIRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AIRT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AIRT leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AIRT — Air T Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AIRT scores 36 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 1 of 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), the weakest result in the framework, indicating the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital or free cash flow yield that would support valuation. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 13 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the strongest pillar, suggesting some institutional interest. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The macro regime fit pillar scores 13 of 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 4 of 20, drawing on an Altman Z of 0.87, a Piotroski F of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a stock whose upside case depends on improving cash generation and balance sheet strength, both of which the rating currently flags as weak. Institutional positioning is the only pillar near the middle of its range, and it does not offset the fundamental and forensic weaknesses. Any valuation discussion should be weighed against negative ROIC and zero FCF yield, and against an Altman Z in the distress-signal range as reported in the rating inputs.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$327.1M$-11.2M$78.0MN/A$-41.5M$37.4MN/A
FY 2024$291.9M$1.9M$-6.1MN/A$22.4M$18.5MN/A
FY 2023$286.8M$1.3M$-6.8MN/A$17.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows an operating loss of $-11.2M against reported net income of $78.0M, and free cash flow of $-41.5M. Per the market data section, the operating margin is -3.4%, the net margin is 23.8%, and the gross margin is 0%. ROIC is reported at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet metrics are an Altman Z-Score of 0.87 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, with a Debt/Equity of 0.5. Not available in source data for a full balance sheet debt figure.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, five items reference AIRT: a Stock Titan report on market action and positioning (YELLOW), a Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart (YELLOW), a MarketBeat report that AIRT shares crossed below their 200-day moving average (YELLOW), a Yahoo Finance Zacks analyst blog mention (YELLOW), a TradingView OTC listing page (YELLOW), and a Stock Traders Daily risk allocation piece (RED, labeled RISK WATCH). The only item flagged RED is the Stock Traders Daily piece. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 gap between an operating loss of $-11.2M and reported net income of $78.0M, and what is the composition of that net income?
  • What is the company's total debt, given the debt field is N/A across all reported periods?
  • What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which are not available in source data?
  • What are the company's specific revenue sources, customers, and business segments?
  • What are the analyst consensus ratings and price targets, and who are the significant institutional and insider holders?

AIRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Air T Inc. (AIRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $27.90?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIRT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIRT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.55 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AIRT (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $27.90?

Welcome to the AIRT (Air T Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.20 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $27.90

Pump the brakes on AIRT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIRT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Air T Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.43 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $27.90

AIRT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIRT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $27.90 (52-wk range $18.35 - $35.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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