MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why AIRI Stock slipped -0.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.59 -0.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.58
Air Industries Group (AIRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $12.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.58 (-0.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIRI SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (43% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 18% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (30% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.70-7.8% Next Q
31
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.49+4.4% Next Q
28
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.60-0.4% Next Q
26
CurrentGrade E$2.59-11.1% Hist 90D α
23
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRI Turnaround Squeeze
While AIRI currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($2.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.15.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AIRI Stock slipped -0.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Air Industries Group (AIRI) slipped -0.19% to $2.59, trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($2.3 – $3.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($2.3 – $3.95) with RSI-14 at 55 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $2.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 17.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AIRI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRI)
- ✓Walkthrough of AIRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.56H $2.68L $2.55C $2.59VOL 12.1K
RES: $2.72SUP: $2.51SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $2.94
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AIRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRI)
Industrials Rank #481 of 485
⚔️ PRZO vs AIRI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AIRI vs. PRZO, SLND, MNTS, CVU)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Air Industries Group (AIRI) ranks #481 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #447 by equity capitalization ($12.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIRI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.5% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. SLND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 42/100 (D-) compared with AIRI at 23/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRI
ACTIVE
Air Industries Group | E | 23/100 | — | 17.1% | -1.3% | -0.19% | $12.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| PRZO ParaZero Technologies Ltd. | D- | 36/100 | — | 4.8% | -35.0% | +0.08% | $13.1M | /przo-vs-airi → |
| SLND Southland Holdings Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | -20.1% | -35.0% | -0.70% | $44.0M | /slnd-vs-airi → |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | +0.47% | $46.8M | /mnts-vs-airi → |
| CVU CPI Aerostructures Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 15.2% | -0.5% | +1.02% | $65.7M | /cvu-vs-airi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001009891In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Air Industries Group (AIRI) reported GAAP revenue of $47.9M (-13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $55.1M , and -7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.3M, operating cash flow of -$1.4M, and free cash flow of -$4.7M (-136.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRI closed FY2025 with $58.3M in total assets against $1.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $47.9M | -$1.3M | -$1.4M | -$4.7M | $58.3M | $1.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $55.1M | -$1.4M | $324.0K | -$2.0M | $51.0M | $1.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $51.5M | -$2.1M | $4.9M | $4.9M | — | — |
3. AIRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Air Industries Group (NYSE: AIRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $2.59 (-0.19% 1D, market cap $12.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRI ranks #481 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AIRI compare to PRZO and SLND in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), AIRI carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, PRZO (ParaZero Technologies Ltd.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.1M) and SLND (Southland Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $44.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIRI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVU leads on capital efficiency (-0.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRI?
Per AIRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001009891), Air Industries Group generated $47.9M in revenue (-13.0% YoY), -$1.3M in net income, and -$4.7M in free cash flow against $58.3M in total assets and $1.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AIRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AIRI last traded at $2.59 (-0.19% on volume of 28,856 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -11.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.94). Across its 52-week range of $2.30 to $3.95, AIRI sits at the 17.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($2.36 to $2.82).
AIRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AIRI stock moving today?
Why AIRI Stock slipped -0.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.