MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why AFYA Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$10.17 -0.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.14
Afya Limited (Class A) (AFYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $953.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.14 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AFYA SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$14.75-1.5% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$14.53+3.9% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$15.09-32.6% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$10.17+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AFYA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AFYA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.63) or 200D SMA ($14.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.17) toward Bear Floor ($7.93).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AFYA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AFYA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AFYA Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Afya Limited (Class A) (AFYA) slipped -0.68% to $10.17, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($9.66 – $16.16). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($9.66 – $16.16) with RSI-14 at 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $10.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $26.7M annual free cash flow.
Live AFYA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFYA)
- ✓Walkthrough of AFYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AFYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.42%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $10.18H $10.76L $9.66C $10.17VOL 1.06M
RES: $15.22SUP: $10.69SMA50: $13.63SMA200: $14.19
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AFYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFYA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFYA)
Real Estate Rank #23 of 51
⚔️ PXED vs AFYA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AFYA vs. PXED, APEI, LINC, UTI)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Afya Limited (Class A) (AFYA) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #17 by equity capitalization ($953.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UTI leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while UTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.3% ROIC and — gross margin. UTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AFYA at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFYA
ACTIVE
Afya Limited (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.68% | $953.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +2.30% | $896.5M | /pxed-vs-afya → |
| APEI American Public Education Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 25.7x | 54.2% | 17.6% | +0.64% | $810.8M | /apei-vs-afya → |
| LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 35.1x | 60.4% | 14.0% | +1.89% | $702.0M | /linc-vs-afya → |
| UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc | B | 75/100 | 20.6x | — | 19.3% | +6.59% | $1.30B | /uti-vs-afya → |
2. AFYA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAfya Limited (Class A) (AFYA) operates in Other Consumer Services (Real Estate) with an equity capitalization of $953.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. AFYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AFYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Afya Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: AFYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.17 (-0.68% 1D, market cap $953.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AFYA ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AFYA compare to PXED and APEI in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), AFYA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PXED (Phoenix Education Partners Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $896.5M) and APEI (American Public Education Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $810.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UTI leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while UTI leads on capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFYA?
For Afya Limited (Class A) (AFYA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #23 in Real Estate, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AFYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AFYA last traded at $10.17 (-0.68% on volume of 611,041 shares), positioning the stock -25.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.63) and -28.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.19). Across its 52-week range of $9.66 to $16.16, AFYA sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($9.09 to $11.25).
AFYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AFYA stock moving today?
Why AFYA Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.