Stock Ratings / Financials / AEF / earnings

PDX (60) MFIC (47) AIO (60) BCX (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.4% Move

Q: When is AEF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

Q: How much is AEF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.4% event move for AEF, spanning a range between $8 and $8.74.

$8.37 -0.71% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.34

abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $898.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.34 (-0.32%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AEF SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 53% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$9.36-7.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$8.63-3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$8.33+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.37-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AEF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AEF faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.30) or 200D SMA ($8.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.33) toward Bear Floor ($6.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.4% Swing Band

±$0.37 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AEF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEF)

✓Walkthrough of AEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $8.22H $8.39L $8.01C $8.37VOL 88.3K

RES: $10.03SUP: $7.20SMA50: $9.30SMA200: $8.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AEF Butterfly Map → + Track AEF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEF)

Financials Rank #640 of 1096 ⚔️ PDX vs AEF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AEF vs. PDX, MFIC, AIO, BCX)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF) ranks #640 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #574 by equity capitalization ($898.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIC leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while MFIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PDX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with AEF at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AEF ACTIVE abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.71%	$898.6M	Benchmark Subject
PDX PIMCO Dynamic Income Strategy Fund of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.17%	$925.4M	/pdx-vs-aef →
MFIC MidCap Financial Investment Corporation	D	47/100	13.6x	—	4.8%	+1.56%	$856.7M	/mfic-vs-aef →
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.62%	$830.7M	/aio-vs-aef →
BCX BlackRock Resources of	D+	57/100	—	—	—	+0.67%	$1.02B	/bcx-vs-aef →

2. AEF Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF) operates in Finance/Investors Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $898.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (NYSE: AEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $8.37 (-0.71% 1D, market cap $898.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AEF ranks #640 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEF compare to PDX and MFIC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), AEF carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PDX (PIMCO Dynamic Income Strategy Fund of) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $925.4M) and MFIC (MidCap Financial Investment Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $856.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIC leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while MFIC leads on capital efficiency (4.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEF?

For abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #640 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEF last traded at $8.37 (-0.71% on volume of 116,779 shares), positioning the stock -10.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.30) and -5.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.84). Across its 52-week range of $6.41 to $10.14, AEF sits at the 52.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($8.00 to $8.74).

AEF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AEF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, abrdn Emerging Markets ex-China Fund Inc. (AEF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is AEF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.4% event move for AEF, spanning a range between $8 and $8.74.

Direct Sub-Reports: AEF RQD Cockpit AEF 12M Forecast AEF Earnings & Move AEF Dividends & DRIP AEF Insiders & 13F AEF Whale Options AEF Profit Sankey AEF News & Why