Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ADV / options

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Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$30.36 +5.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.61

Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $389.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.61 (+0.82%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADV SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 51% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$30.28-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$29.06+4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$30.28+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$30.36-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ADV currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.03) and Max Pain ($31.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ADV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ADV.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADV)

✓Walkthrough of ADV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ADV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.41%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $30.20H $30.96L $29.84C $30.36VOL 58.2K

RES: $29.37SUP: $27.66SMA50: $31.03SMA200: $30.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADV Butterfly Map → + Track ADV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #764 of 1011 ⚔️ RPAY vs ADV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADV vs. RPAY, CTEV, RMNI, FVRR)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) ranks #764 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #621 by equity capitalization ($389.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RMNI leads on earnings valuation at 10.0x trailing P/E, while CTEV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. RMNI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ADV at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADV ACTIVE Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A)	D	44/100	—	—	-5.1%	+5.60%	$389.3M	Benchmark Subject
RPAY Repay Holdings Corporation (Class A)	D	49/100	—	75.0%	-31.0%	0.00%	$397.2M	/rpay-vs-adv →
CTEV Claritev Corporation (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	85.0%	+4.35%	$406.7M	/ctev-vs-adv →
RMNI Rimini Street Inc.	C-	60/100	10.0x	60.4%	85.0%	-0.87%	$372.5M	/rmni-vs-adv →
FVRR Fiverr International Ltd. no par value	C-	60/100	15.5x	81.6%	-0.3%	+12.01%	$325.4M	/fvrr-vs-adv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001776661

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) reported GAAP revenue of $3.54B (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.57B , and -9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$227.7M, operating cash flow of $61.5M, and free cash flow of $55.1M (-35.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADV closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $1.66B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.54B	-$227.7M	$61.5M	$55.1M	$2.79B	$1.66B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.57B	-$327.0M	$93.1M	$85.3M	$3.11B	$1.69B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.90B	-$63.3M	$228.5M	$228.5M	—	—

3. ADV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ADV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $30.36 (+5.60% 1D, market cap $389.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADV ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADV compare to RPAY and CTEV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ADV carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, RPAY (Repay Holdings Corporation (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.0%, cap $397.2M) and CTEV (Claritev Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $406.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMNI leads on earnings multiple (10.0x) while CTEV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADV?

Per ADV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001776661), Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) generated $3.54B in revenue (-0.7% YoY), -$227.7M in net income, and $55.1M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $1.66B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADV last traded at $30.36 (+5.60% on volume of 80,062 shares), positioning the stock -2.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.03) and +0.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.24). Across its 52-week range of $12.23 to $47.45, ADV sits at the 51.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($26.57 to $34.15).

ADV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ADV's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ADV.

Direct Sub-Reports: ADV RQD Cockpit ADV 12M Forecast ADV Earnings & Move ADV Dividends & DRIP ADV Insiders & 13F ADV Whale Options ADV Profit Sankey ADV News & Why