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Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

Q: When is ADAM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is ADAM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.5% event move for ADAM, spanning a range between $6.64 and $7.72.

$7.18 -7.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.07

Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $648.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ADAM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Adamas Trust Inc. (NASDAQ: ADAM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.18 (-7.71% 1D, market cap $648.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ADAM ranks #644 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADAM compare to PMT and PSTL in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ADAM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, PMT (PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $643.6M) and PSTL (Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 46.4x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $656.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while MFA leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADAM?

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Per ADAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001273685), Adamas Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $149.0M in net income, and $125.9M in free cash flow against $12.64B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.07 (-1.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADAM SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$7.65-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$7.64+2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$7.81-8.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$7.18-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, ADAM faces multiple-compression risk if 4.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.46) or 200D SMA ($8.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.15) toward Bear Floor ($5.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$0.54 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADAM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $1.65 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$149.0M	$125.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	-$62.0M	-$10.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$48.7M	$30.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADAM)

✓Walkthrough of ADAM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ADAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $7.18H $7.18L $6.54C $7.18VOL 1.76M

RES: $11.53SUP: $7.02SMA50: $8.46SMA200: $8.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADAM Butterfly Map → + Track ADAM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADAM)

Financials Rank #644 of 1096 ⚔️ PMT vs ADAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ADAM vs. PMT, PSTL, MFA, CLDT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM) ranks #644 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #648 by equity capitalization ($648.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFA leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while MFA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PSTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ADAM at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADAM ACTIVE Adamas Trust Inc.	D+	57/100	4.4x	—	8.9%	-7.71%	$648.4M	Benchmark Subject
PMT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of	D-	42/100	7.5x	—	4.6%	+1.51%	$643.6M	/pmt-vs-adam →
PSTL Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	46.4x	—	9.6%	+1.93%	$656.4M	/pstl-vs-adam →
MFA MFA Financial Inc.	C	62/100	3.9x	—	9.7%	+0.15%	$687.4M	/mfa-vs-adam →
CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust of	C	62/100	46.3x	—	4.5%	+0.60%	$697.6M	/cldt-vs-adam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001273685

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $149.0M, operating cash flow of $134.0M, and free cash flow of $125.9M (+1290.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADAM closed FY2025 with $12.64B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$149.0M	$134.0M	$125.9M	$12.64B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$62.0M	$14.1M	-$10.6M	$9.22B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$48.7M	$30.0M	$30.0M	—	—

3. ADAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ADAM compare to PMT and PSTL in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADAM?

Where is ADAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADAM last traded at $7.18 (-7.71% on volume of 2,580,750 shares), positioning the stock -15.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.46) and -16.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.55). Across its 52-week range of $6.54 to $10.36, ADAM sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($6.64 to $7.72).

ADAM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ADAM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Adamas Trust Inc. (ADAM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ADAM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.5% event move for ADAM, spanning a range between $6.64 and $7.72.

Direct Sub-Reports: ADAM RQD Cockpit ADAM 12M Forecast ADAM Earnings & Move ADAM Dividends & DRIP ADAM Insiders & 13F ADAM Whale Options ADAM Profit Sankey ADAM News & Why