Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (ACRV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.66 -5.68% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64

Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (ACRV) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $75.4M
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACRV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (-5.68% 1D, market cap $75.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACRV ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACRV compare to CING and LFVN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACRV carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CING (Cingulate Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.5M) and LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACRV?
β–Ό

Per ACRV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001781174), Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$77.9M in net income, and -$65.3M in free cash flow against $129.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.64 (-1.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
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πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ACRV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACRV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ACRV SCORES 38/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 17% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$1.91-14.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.64+5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$1.73-4% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.66-7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (46) β†’ D- (38)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ACRV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ACRV currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.94) and Max Pain ($1.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.74.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACRVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œACRV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ACRV)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ACRV.

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  • βœ“Walkthrough of ACRV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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ACRV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.27%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.74H $1.76L $1.65C $1.66VOL 165.7K
RES: $2.49SUP: $1.64SMA50: $1.94SMA200: $1.77
$2.46$2.16$1.86$1.57$1.27RES $2.49SUP $1.64$1.662026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACRV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACRV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACRV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACRV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACRV)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ACRV vs. CING, LFVN, MAIA, SDEV)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (ACRV) ranks #589 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #695 by equity capitalization ($75.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFVN leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while LFVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and 80.4% gross margin. LFVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with ACRV at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACRV ACTIVE
Acrivon Therapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -5.68% $75.4M Benchmark Subject
CING
Cingulate Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.05% $75.5M /cing-vs-acrv β†’
LFVN
Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)
B+ 76/100 7.5x 80.4% 29.2% +0.17% $73.9M /lfvn-vs-acrv β†’
MAIA
MAIA Biotechnology Inc.
D 48/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.78% $72.9M /maia-vs-acrv β†’
SDEV
Stablecoin Development Corporation
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.48% $79.0M /sdev-vs-acrv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001781174

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (ACRV) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$77.9M, operating cash flow of -$63.7M, and free cash flow of -$65.3M (+4.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACRV closed FY2025 with $129.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$77.9M -$63.7M -$65.3M $129.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$80.6M -$65.7M -$68.4M $196.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$60.4M -$42.6M -$42.6M β€” β€”

3. ACRV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACRV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACRV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.66 (-5.68% 1D, market cap $75.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACRV ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACRV compare to CING and LFVN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACRV carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CING (Cingulate Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.5M) and LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACRV?

Per ACRV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001781174), Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$77.9M in net income, and -$65.3M in free cash flow against $129.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACRV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACRV last traded at $1.66 (-5.68% on volume of 165,749 shares), positioning the stock -14.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.94) and -6.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.77). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $3.56, ACRV sits at the 17.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.45 to $1.87).

ACRV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ACRV's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ACRV.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 38/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACRV β€” Acrivon Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ACRV scores 38 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this pillar signals that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow, so value must rest on future outcomes rather than present earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): The RQD rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the holders section contains no 13F detail in the source data. The low score suggests limited evidence of supportive institutional demand.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak. Insider activity in the news wire is limited to an automatic tax-withholding sale, which is not a conviction signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted. Beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market; the score reflects the absence of a clear macro tailwind in the data provided.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings sit in a mixed zone: the Z-score is not in distress territory on its face, but the low Piotroski score points to weak fundamental health signals.

Taken together, the rating frames ACRV as a speculative, pre-revenue setting where the upside case depends on clinical and pipeline progress rather than current cash generation. The main valuation tradeoff is that a $75.4M market capitalization against sustained operating losses leaves little margin for execution error. Upside drivers would be pipeline milestones reaching the market; the downside is continued cash burn and dilution risk, which the source data does not quantify.

Business

Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Per the Yahoo Finance and Stock Titan news items, the company is advancing a pipeline that includes ACR-7280, an oral CDK11 inhibitor targeting an IND filing in the first half of 2027, and ACR-2316, a WEE1/PKMYT1 inhibitor with early Phase 1/2 results. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M across the periods shown, so the source data does not indicate a commercial product revenue stream. Customer and monetization details are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-84.1M$-77.9MN/A$-65.3M$41.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-89.2M$-80.6MN/A$-68.4M$39.8MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-67.1M$-60.4MN/A$-42.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with net margin at 0% per the market data reflecting absent revenue. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9 per the RQD forensic pillar, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported cash of $41.5M at FY 2025 compares with FCF of $-65.3M in the same year, indicating the cash balance covers less than a full year of reported cash burn at that rate.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Pipeline advancement: Per the Yahoo Finance report, ACR-7280 is advancing toward an IND filing in the first half of 2027.
  • Clinical presentation: Per the Yahoo Finance report, a late-breaking oral plenary presentation of early Phase 1/2 results for ACR-2316 is scheduled at the 38th EORTC-NCI-AACR Symposium.
  • Preclinical signal: Per the Stock Titan report, a drug candidate produced complete tumor regression in mouse leukemia models.
  • Insider activity: Per the Stock Titan report, an automatic tax-withholding sale covered 513 shares.
  • Price action: Per the Stock Titan micro-cap report, the stock ticked up 1.08% to $1.88 in a separate session, while the market data shows the current price at $1.66 with a change of -5.68%.

Risk watch items: early-stage clinical data is preliminary; the market data shows the stock 47% below its 52-week high of $3.56 (computed from source figures). Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Not available in source data β€” the graph reports no supply chain and no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's cash runway at the current quarterly burn rate, and does the $41.5M FY 2025 cash balance fund operations through the IND timeline?
  • What is the debt structure behind the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5, given that debt is shown as N/A in each period?
  • What share count and dilution exposure exist, since EPS is N/A across periods?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, given that the holders dataset is empty?
  • How durable are the early Phase 1/2 results for ACR-2316 once full data is reviewed?

ACRV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. (ACRV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ACRV Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACRV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.66?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACRV 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACRV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACRV (D- β€’ RQD 38/100) a Buy at $1.66?

Welcome to the ACRV (Acrivon Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.34 (-19.3%)
Spot @ $1.66

Pump the brakes on ACRV β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACRV, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Acrivon Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.11 (+27.1%)
Spot @ $1.66

ACRV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACRV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.66 (52-wk range $1.27 - $3.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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