Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$103.94 +1.41% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $35.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$128 Bull$109 Base$85 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($3.6M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $102.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ACGL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $103.94: 96.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $84.72
$8,151
$-1,849 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $108.62
$10,450
+$450 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $128.17
$12,331
+$2,331 (+23.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$11374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$12069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$9758%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ACGL Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
ACGL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $105.5H $106.7L $105.1C $106.4VOL 2.48M
RES: $104.6SUP: $90.01SMA50: $97.94SMA200: $96.80
$108.5$102.7$96.87$91.06$85.25RES $104.6SUP $90.01$106.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACGL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACGL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACGL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACGL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ACGL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ACGL's 12-month stock price target?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $108.62 (+4.5% from $103.94), with a bull-case target of $128.17 and a bear-case floor of $84.72.

Is ACGL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ACGL C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 68/100.