Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$103.94 +1.41% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $35.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$128 Bull$109 Base$85 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($3.6M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $102.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
7030 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.52>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE86% OF RANGE
L: $85$103.94H: $107
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (41% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ACGL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

9.2% ROIC with 41.0% gross margin and 14.87% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 1.52 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 0.78x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ACGL
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ACGL Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ACGL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $105.5H $106.7L $105.1C $106.4VOL 2.48M
RES: $104.6SUP: $90.01SMA50: $97.94SMA200: $96.80
$108.5$102.7$96.87$91.06$85.25RES $104.6SUP $90.01$106.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACGL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACGL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACGL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACGL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ACGL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ACGL stock right now?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 41% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ACGL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ACGL's 12-month base price target is $108.62 (range $84.72 to $128.17), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.