Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$103.94 +1.41% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $35.47B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$128 Bull$109 Base$85 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($3.6M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $102.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ACGL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$5.28B (26.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$19.93BGross Profit $8.77B (44%)Cost of Sales $11.16BOp Profit $5.19B (26%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $3.58BNet Profit$4.40B (22.1%)Tax/Other $791.8M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $13.63B
FY24
Rev $17.44B
FY25
Rev $19.93B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$19.93B44%26%$4.40B$5.28B8.5%
FY 2024$17.44B44%29.2%$4.31B$5.89B9.5%
FY 2023$13.63B44%38.5%$4.44B$5.14B35.2%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ACGL)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ACGL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ACGL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.60%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $105.5H $106.7L $105.1C $106.4VOL 2.48M
RES: $104.6SUP: $90.01SMA50: $97.94SMA200: $96.80
$108.5$102.7$96.87$91.06$85.25RES $104.6SUP $90.01$106.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACGL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACGL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACGL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACGL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ACGL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ACGL converted $19.9B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 26% operating margin, and $5.3B in free cash flow (26.5% FCF margin).