MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why ABX Stock surged +2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.61 +2.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.63
Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) (ABX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $842.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.63 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 37.7% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$8.19-4.8% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$7.80+6.4% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$8.30+3.7% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$8.61-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABX Turnaround Squeeze
While ABX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.72) and Max Pain ($9.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.06.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ABX Stock surged +2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) (ABX) surged +2.26% to $8.61, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($5 – $12.44). Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($5 – $12.44) with RSI-14 at 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $8.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ABX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABX)
- ✓Walkthrough of ABX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ABX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $8.54H $8.65L $8.36C $8.61VOL 590.9K
RES: $12.90SUP: $6.84SMA50: $8.72SMA200: $9.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ABX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +110.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABX)
Financials Rank #850 of 1096
⚔️ VRTS vs ABX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABX vs. VRTS, FMN, GSBD, RPC)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) (ABX) ranks #850 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #587 by equity capitalization ($842.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VRTS leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while VRTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. GSBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ABX at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABX
ACTIVE
Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | 23.1x | — | 10.4% | +2.26% | $842.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| VRTS Virtus Investment Partners Inc. | D | 49/100 | 6.1x | — | 14.3% | +1.54% | $827.6M | /vrts-vs-abx → |
| FMN Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +0.58% | $903.1M | /fmn-vs-abx → |
| GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. | C | 63/100 | 8.6x | — | 8.4% | +2.26% | $1.02B | /gsbd-vs-abx → |
| RPC Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | 52.5x | — | 13.8% | +6.42% | $1.02B | /rpc-vs-abx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001814287In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) (ABX) reported GAAP revenue of $235.2M (+110.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $111.9M , and +254.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $36.5M, operating cash flow of -$25.7M, and free cash flow of -$26.6M (+87.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABX closed FY2025 with $902.2M in total assets against $289.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $235.2M | $36.5M | -$25.7M | -$26.6M | $902.2M | $289.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $111.9M | -$24.0M | -$208.8M | -$209.6M | $874.2M | $342.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $66.4M | $9.5M | -$64.0M | -$64.0M | — | — |
3. ABX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ABX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ABX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $8.61 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $842.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABX ranks #850 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ABX compare to VRTS and FMN in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), ABX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.4%. By comparison, VRTS (Virtus Investment Partners Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $827.6M) and FMN (Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $903.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VRTS leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while VRTS leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABX?
Per ABX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001814287), Abacus Global Management Inc. (Class A) generated $235.2M in revenue (+110.2% YoY), $36.5M in net income, and -$26.6M in free cash flow against $902.2M in total assets and $289.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ABX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ABX last traded at $8.61 (+2.26% on volume of 349,102 shares), positioning the stock -1.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.72) and -5.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.14). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $12.44, ABX sits at the 48.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($7.95 to $9.27).
ABX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ABX stock moving today?
Why ABX Stock surged +2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 23x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.