Stock Ratings / Financials / ABTS / options

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Abits Group Inc (ABTS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.20 +4.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ABTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.20 (+4.35% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?

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Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (+0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABTS SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$1.25-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1.17-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.16+3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.20-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.28) and Max Pain ($1.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.2%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ABTS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ABTS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTS)

✓Walkthrough of ABTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ABTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $1.15H $1.20L $1.15C $1.20VOL 18.9K

RES: $1.75SUP: $1.11SMA50: $1.28SMA200: $1.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABTS Butterfly Map → + Track ABTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTS)

Financials Rank #685 of 1096 ⚔️ SNTG vs ABTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTS vs. SNTG, ALP, BTCT, PWCM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Abits Group Inc (ABTS) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #1085 by equity capitalization ($3.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ABTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ABTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABTS ACTIVE Abits Group Inc	D	50/100	—	—	37.7%	+4.35%	$3.9M	Benchmark Subject
SNTG Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	-24.3%	-0.35%	$4.8M	/sntg-vs-abts →
ALP Alpha Compute Corp	D	46/100	—	—	—	-0.90%	$5.1M	/alp-vs-abts →
BTCT BTC Digital Ltd.	E	25/100	—	—	-18.9%	-3.62%	$8.4M	/btct-vs-abts →
PWCM PowerCompute Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.29%	$1.7M	/pwcm-vs-abts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864055

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Abits Group Inc (ABTS) reported GAAP revenue of $9.1M (+36.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and +442.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.7M (-148.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTS closed FY2025 with $10.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$9.1M	-$2.9M	$1.4M	-$1.7M	$10.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.7M	-$909.7K	$1.9M	-$679.6K	$11.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.7M	-$12.6M	$1.8M	$1.8M	—	—

3. ABTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?

Where is ABTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTS last traded at $1.20 (+4.35% on volume of 18,942 shares), positioning the stock -6.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.28) and -31.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $7.43, ABTS sits at the 6.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.07 to $1.33).

ABTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ABTS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ABTS.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABTS RQD Cockpit ABTS 12M Forecast ABTS Earnings & Move ABTS Dividends & DRIP ABTS Insiders & 13F ABTS Whale Options ABTS Profit Sankey ABTS News & Why