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Abits Group Inc (ABTS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.20 +4.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (+0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABTS SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.20-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.18+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.18+1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.20-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ABTS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ABTS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.28) or 200D SMA ($1.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.19) toward Bear Floor ($0.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ABTS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.20: 8333.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.93

$7,750

$-2,250 (-22.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.19

$9,917

$-83 (-0.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.65

$63,750

+$53,750 (+537.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTS)

✓Walkthrough of ABTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ABTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.09%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.10H $1.20L $1.10C $1.20VOL 2.2K

RES: $1.75SUP: $1.11SMA50: $1.28SMA200: $1.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABTS Butterfly Map → + Track ABTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTS)

Financials Rank #689 of 1096 ⚔️ SNTG vs ABTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTS vs. SNTG, ALP, BTCT, PWCM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Abits Group Inc (ABTS) ranks #689 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #1085 by equity capitalization ($3.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ABTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ABTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABTS ACTIVE Abits Group Inc	D+	56/100	—	—	37.7%	+4.35%	$3.9M	Benchmark Subject
SNTG Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	—	-24.3%	-0.35%	$4.8M	/sntg-vs-abts →
ALP Alpha Compute Corp	D	49/100	—	—	—	-0.90%	$5.1M	/alp-vs-abts →
BTCT BTC Digital Ltd.	D-	38/100	—	—	-18.9%	-3.62%	$8.4M	/btct-vs-abts →
PWCM PowerCompute Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.29%	$1.7M	/pwcm-vs-abts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864055

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Abits Group Inc (ABTS) reported GAAP revenue of $9.1M (+36.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and +442.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.7M (-148.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTS closed FY2025 with $10.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$9.1M	-$2.9M	$1.4M	-$1.7M	$10.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.7M	-$909.7K	$1.9M	-$679.6K	$11.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.7M	-$12.6M	$1.8M	$1.8M	—	—

3. ABTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Abits Group Inc (NASDAQ: ABTS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.20 (+4.35% 1D, market cap $3.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTS ranks #689 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTS compare to SNTG and ALP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTS carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 37.7%. By comparison, SNTG (Sentage Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $4.8M) and ALP (Alpha Compute Corp) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ABTS leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTS?

Per ABTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864055), Abits Group Inc generated $9.1M in revenue (+36.0% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $10.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTS last traded at $1.20 (+4.35% on volume of 18,942 shares), positioning the stock -6.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.28) and -31.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.76). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $7.29, ABTS sits at the 6.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($1.06 to $1.34).

ABTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ABTS's 12-month stock price target?

Abits Group Inc (ABTS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.19 (-0.8% from $1.20), with a bull-case target of $7.65 and a bear-case floor of $0.93.

Is ABTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ABTS D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 56/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABTS RQD Cockpit ABTS 12M Forecast ABTS Earnings & Move ABTS Dividends & DRIP ABTS Insiders & 13F ABTS Whale Options ABTS Profit Sankey ABTS News & Why