Stock Ratings / Financials / ABTC / options

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American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.50 -5.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.41

American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $546.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.41 (-1.25%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABTC SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$7.73-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$7.56-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$7.51-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$7.50-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTC currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.35) and Max Pain ($7.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $84.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ABTC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ABTC.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTC)

✓Walkthrough of ABTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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ABTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.52%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $7.09H $7.50L $6.47C $7.50VOL 1.27M

RES: $8.63SUP: $7.54SMA50: $8.35SMA200: $12.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABTC Butterfly Map → + Track ABTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +158.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTC)

Financials Rank #1079 of 1096 ⚔️ FWDI vs ABTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTC vs. FWDI, HIVE, WYFI, OPFI)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) ranks #1079 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #686 by equity capitalization ($546.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPFI leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while OPFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ABTC at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABTC ACTIVE American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-27.1%	-5.90%	$546.1M	Benchmark Subject
FWDI Forward Industries Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-0.8%	-4.54%	$529.4M	/fwdi-vs-abtc →
HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.	D+	52/100	—	—	-26.5%	-2.36%	$567.8M	/hive-vs-abtc →
WYFI WhiteFiber Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-5.8%	-5.39%	$508.5M	/wyfi-vs-abtc →
OPFI OppFi Inc. (Class A)	C+	69/100	19.0x	—	85.0%	+3.90%	$499.3M	/opfi-vs-abtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001755953

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported GAAP revenue of $185.2M (+158.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $71.5M , and +185.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of -$79.6M, and free cash flow of -$79.6M (-31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTC closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$185.2M	-$153.2M	-$79.6M	-$79.6M	$1.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$71.5M	-$21.3M	-$54.0M	-$60.6M	$1.11B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$65.0M	-$28.6M	-$56.0M	-$56.0M	—	—

3. ABTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $546.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1079 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTC compare to FWDI and HIVE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $529.4M) and HIVE (HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.5%, cap $567.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPFI leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?

Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTC last traded at $7.50 (-5.90% on volume of 686,270 shares), positioning the stock -10.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.35) and -40.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.60). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $80.36, ABTC sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.56 to $8.44).

ABTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ABTC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ABTC.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABTC RQD Cockpit ABTC 12M Forecast ABTC Earnings & Move ABTC Dividends & DRIP ABTC Insiders & 13F ABTC Whale Options ABTC Profit Sankey ABTC News & Why