Stock Ratings / Financials / ABTC / earnings

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American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$7.50 -5.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.41

American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $546.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.41 (-1.25%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ABTC SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$7.73-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$7.56-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$7.51-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$7.50-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABTC currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.35) and Max Pain ($7.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $84.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ABTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.94 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ABTC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 158.8%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$185.2M	-$153.2M	-$79.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$71.5M	-$21.3M	-$60.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$65.0M	-$28.6M	-$56.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABTC)

✓Walkthrough of ABTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ABTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.52%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $7.09H $7.50L $6.47C $7.50VOL 1.27M

RES: $8.63SUP: $7.54SMA50: $8.35SMA200: $12.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ABTC Butterfly Map → + Track ABTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +158.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABTC)

Financials Rank #1079 of 1096 ⚔️ FWDI vs ABTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ABTC vs. FWDI, HIVE, WYFI, OPFI)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) ranks #1079 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #686 by equity capitalization ($546.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPFI leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while OPFI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ABTC at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ABTC ACTIVE American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-27.1%	-5.90%	$546.1M	Benchmark Subject
FWDI Forward Industries Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-0.8%	-4.54%	$529.4M	/fwdi-vs-abtc →
HIVE HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.	D+	52/100	—	—	-26.5%	-2.36%	$567.8M	/hive-vs-abtc →
WYFI WhiteFiber Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-5.8%	-5.39%	$508.5M	/wyfi-vs-abtc →
OPFI OppFi Inc. (Class A)	C+	69/100	19.0x	—	85.0%	+3.90%	$499.3M	/opfi-vs-abtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001755953

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC) reported GAAP revenue of $185.2M (+158.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $71.5M , and +185.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$153.2M, operating cash flow of -$79.6M, and free cash flow of -$79.6M (-31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABTC closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$185.2M	-$153.2M	-$79.6M	-$79.6M	$1.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$71.5M	-$21.3M	-$54.0M	-$60.6M	$1.11B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$65.0M	-$28.6M	-$56.0M	-$56.0M	—	—

3. ABTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ABTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $7.50 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $546.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABTC ranks #1079 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABTC compare to FWDI and HIVE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ABTC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -27.1%. By comparison, FWDI (Forward Industries Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $529.4M) and HIVE (HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.5%, cap $567.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPFI leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while OPFI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABTC?

Per ABTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001755953), American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) generated $185.2M in revenue (+158.8% YoY), -$153.2M in net income, and -$79.6M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABTC last traded at $7.50 (-5.90% on volume of 686,270 shares), positioning the stock -10.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.35) and -40.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.60). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $80.36, ABTC sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.56 to $8.44).

ABTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ABTC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, American Bitcoin Corp. (Class A) (ABTC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ABTC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ABTC, spanning a range between $6.56 and $8.44.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABTC RQD Cockpit ABTC 12M Forecast ABTC Earnings & Move ABTC Dividends & DRIP ABTC Insiders & 13F ABTC Whale Options ABTC Profit Sankey ABTC News & Why