MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why AAT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$22.32 +3.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.41
American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.37B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.40 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 418.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AAT SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 418.7% FCF Margin ($167.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$21.52-1.1% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$21.28+0.4% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$21.36+4.5% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade C-$22.32+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AAT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, AAT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.74) or 200D SMA ($21.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.62) toward Bear Floor ($17.64).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AAT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) surged +3.19% to $22.32, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($17.72 – $25.97). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($17.72 – $25.97) with RSI-14 at 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $22.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $167.1M annual free cash flow.
Live AAT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AAT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.62%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $22.46H $22.46L $21.75C $22.32VOL 565.9K
RES: $21.16SUP: $20.39SMA50: $21.74SMA200: $21.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AAT)
Financials Rank #464 of 1096
⚔️ UMH vs AAT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AAT vs. UMH, MPT, ALX, UNIT)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) ranks #464 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #507 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALX leads on earnings valuation at 45.1x trailing P/E, while ALX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with AAT at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAT
ACTIVE
American Assets Trust Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 11.3% | +3.19% | $1.37B | Benchmark Subject |
| UMH UMH Properties Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 0.7% | +1.54% | $1.30B | /umh-vs-aat → |
| MPT Medical Properties Trust Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | -6.0% | -11.27% | $1.46B | /mpt-vs-aat → |
| ALX Alexander's Inc. | B | 73/100 | 45.1x | — | 25.9% | +0.46% | $1.27B | /alx-vs-aat → |
| UNIT Uniti Group Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | 2.1% | +5.97% | $1.25B | /unit-vs-aat → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001500217In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Assets Trust Inc. (AAT) reported GAAP revenue of $39.9M (-7.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.0M , and -6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $167.1M, and free cash flow of $167.1M (-19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AAT closed FY2025 with $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $39.9M | $0 | $167.1M | $167.1M | $2.92B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $43.0M | $0 | $207.1M | $207.1M | $3.27B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $42.9M | $0 | $188.8M | $188.8M | — | — |
3. AAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $22.32 (+3.19% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AAT ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AAT compare to UMH and MPT in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AAT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B) and MPT (Medical Properties Trust Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $1.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALX leads on earnings multiple (45.1x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AAT?
Per AAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001500217), American Assets Trust Inc. generated $39.9M in revenue (-7.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $167.1M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AAT last traded at $22.32 (+3.19% on volume of 559,591 shares), positioning the stock +2.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.74) and +4.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.44). Across its 52-week range of $17.72 to $25.97, AAT sits at the 55.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($21.23 to $23.41).
AAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AAT stock moving today?
Why AAT Stock surged +3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.