ATA Creativity Global (AACG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.65 -1.51% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65

ATA Creativity Global (AACG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $44.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65 (-0.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (12)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AACG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AACG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AACG SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$0.69+37.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$0.95-23.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$0.73-11% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$0.65-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AACG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AACG currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.81) and Max Pain ($0.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.55.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AACGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAACG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AACG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AACG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AACG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AACG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AACG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.92%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $0.60H $0.67L $0.58C $0.65VOL 69.7K
RES: $0.91SUP: $0.56SMA50: $0.81SMA200: $0.97
$1.31$1.11$0.91$0.72$0.52RES $0.91SUP $0.56$0.652026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AACG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AACG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AACG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AACG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AACG)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AACG vs. YOUL, LFS, IH, STG)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ATA Creativity Global (AACG) ranks #47 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #33 by equity capitalization ($44.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with AACG at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AACG ACTIVE
ATA Creativity Global
D- 35/100 β€” 48.6% -35.0% -1.51% $44.5M Benchmark Subject
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 47/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -10.41% $36.3M /youl-vs-aacg β†’
LFS
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
B- 71/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% 0.00% $54.9M /lfs-vs-aacg β†’
IH
iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)
C 64/100 4.4x 67.9% 85.0% +1.72% $60.3M /ih-vs-aacg β†’
STG
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $32.7M /stg-vs-aacg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001420529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ATA Creativity Global (AACG) reported GAAP revenue of $38.3M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $36.7M , and +22.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.3M, and free cash flow of -$2.4M (+23.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AACG closed FY2025 with $58.4M in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $38.3M -$6.9M -$2.3M -$2.4M $58.4M $2.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $36.7M -$4.9M -$458.3K -$3.2M $62.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $31.2M -$4.7M $1.2M $1.2M β€” β€”

3. AACG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AACG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ATA Creativity Global (NASDAQ: AACG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.65 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $44.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AACG ranks #47 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AACG compare to YOUL and LFS in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), AACG carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $36.3M) and LFS (LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 26.5%, cap $54.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AACG?

Per AACG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001420529), ATA Creativity Global generated $38.3M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and -$2.4M in free cash flow against $58.4M in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AACG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AACG last traded at $0.65 (-1.51% on volume of 10,759 shares), positioning the stock -19.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.81) and -32.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.97). Across its 52-week range of $0.58 to $1.48, AACG sits at the 7.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.73).

AACG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is AACG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AACG.

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