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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ABG
GPI (65) OPLN (63) RUSHA (63) AN (40) โŒ˜ Pro Terminal โ†’

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) โ€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$198.03 -0.62% NYSE โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $197.43

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 ยท D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows โ†’
ROARABLE D โ€ข SELL / AVOID Cap $3.58B
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
โšก INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW โ€ข $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ABG Below โ€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
โ–ผ

As of 2026-11-02, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (NYSE: ABG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $198.03 (-0.62% 1D, market cap $3.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABG ranks #568 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
โ–ผ

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), ABG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.10B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?
โ–ผ

Per ABG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001144980), Asbury Automotive Group Inc generated $18.00B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $492.0M in net income, and -$34.8M in free cash flow against $11.62B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $197.44 (-0.30%)๐Ÿงฌ Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) โ€ข 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 ยท D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID โ€ข D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ ยท Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (12)Macro (3)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$272 Bull$190 Base$148 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE ABG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY ABG SCORES 49/100 (D) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 17.1% Gross Margin

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (ยฑ8.8% realized swing band)

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$164.54+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$172.13+13.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$194.99+1.6% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$198.03-5.4% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: D (41) โ†’ D (49)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While ABG currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($188.43) and Max Pain ($207.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $271.69.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABGโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œABG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds โ†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.730 Oversold ยท 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8โ€“3.0)
2.60>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5โ€“6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $160$198.03H: $259
1. Money & Cash Healthโ— MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insidersโ— NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weatherโ— WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ABG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 17.1% gross margin and -0.97% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 2.60 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ABG
  • โœ“Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABG)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of ABG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) โ†’$100K Arena
ABG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.42%โ–ผ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $193.5H $199.3L $193.5C $198.0VOL 500.8K
RES: $207.5SUP: $155.3SMA50: $188.4SMA200: $203.4
$264.0$235.9$207.8$179.7$151.6RES $207.5SUP $155.3$198.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

๐Ÿฆ‹ ABG Butterfly Map โ†’ + Track ABG โ†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABG today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #568 of 1011 โš”๏ธ GPI vs ABG Full Matrix โ†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ABG vs. GPI, OPLN, RUSHA, AN)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) ranks #568 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #334 by equity capitalization ($3.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ABG at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABG ACTIVE
Asbury Automotive Group Inc
D 49/100 7.3x 17.1% 14.0% -0.62% $3.58B Benchmark Subject
GPI
Group 1 Automotive Inc.
C 65/100 9.5x 16.0% 21.0% +0.32% $3.10B /gpi-vs-abg โ†’
OPLN
OPENLANE Inc.
C 63/100 26.6x โ€” 9.5% +0.65% $4.73B /opln-vs-abg โ†’
RUSHA
Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A
C 63/100 19.1x 20.7% 13.7% -1.29% $5.08B /rusha-vs-abg โ†’
AN
AutoNation Inc.
D- 40/100 8.6x 17.9% 18.9% +6.08% $5.60B /an-vs-abg โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2025-12-31 โ€ข CIK 0001144980

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) reported GAAP revenue of $18.00B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.19B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $492.0M, operating cash flow of $775.2M, and free cash flow of -$34.8M (+66.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABG closed FY2025 with $11.62B in total assets against $2.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.60, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.00B $492.0M $775.2M -$34.8M $11.62B $2.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.19B $430.3M $671.2M -$102.3M $10.34B $2.42B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.80B $602.5M $313.0M -$353.1M $17.76B $4.16B

3. ABG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Asbury Automotive Group Inc (NYSE: ABG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $198.03 (-0.62% 1D, market cap $3.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ABG ranks #568 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABG compare to GPI and OPLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), ABG carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of 17.1%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.10B) and OPLN (OPENLANE Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABG?

Per ABG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001144980), Asbury Automotive Group Inc generated $18.00B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $492.0M in net income, and -$34.8M in free cash flow against $11.62B in total assets and $2.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABG last traded at $198.03 (-0.62% on volume of 362,136 shares), positioning the stock +5.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($188.43) and -2.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($203.43). Across its 52-week range of $160.30 to $258.75, ABG sits at the 38.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ8.8% ($180.60 to $215.46).

ABG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ABG stock right now?

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell โ€” SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ABG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ABG's 12-month base price target is $190.01 (range $148.21 to $271.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ABG RQD Cockpit ABG 12M Forecast ABG Earnings & Move ABG Dividends & DRIP ABG Insiders & 13F ABG Whale Options ABG Profit Sankey ABG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF โ€ข RQD 49/100 (D) โœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ABG โ€” Asbury Automotive Group Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ABG scores 49 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell โ€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Cited as ROIC 14% and FCF yield of -0.97%. The return on invested capital is solid, but the negative free cash flow yield means the business is not currently converting earnings into surplus cash for shareholders.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is middling; the source data does not provide 13F holder detail to verify the direction of institutional flows.
  • Insider Conviction: 10 / 20. Described as SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is one of the weaker pillars, indicating limited insider buying conviction in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Cited as Beta 1.16 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar and signals that ABG's price is expected to move more than the market and is sensitive to the sector backdrop.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Cited as Altman Z 2.6, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.6. These figures suggest a reasonably sound balance sheet, though not a pristine one.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a weak overall setup. The main upside drivers are the valuation multiples (a P/E of 7.3 TTM and EV/EBITDA of 3.5) and the 14% ROIC, which together suggest the market is pricing the shares cheaply relative to reported earnings. The valuation tradeoff is that low multiples have not been enough to offset negative free cash flow, weak macro-regime fit, and limited insider conviction. The rating's distribution warning reflects this combination rather than any single metric.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
199.27$3.58B7.36.83.527.410%1.16$160.3 - $258.7514%

Business

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry. The source data identifies the company's sector and industry but does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model in detail. Not available in source data for specific product lines, customer segments, or the company's specific revenue mix. The reported gross margin of 17.1% and net margin of 2.7% are consistent with a retail-oriented business, but the source does not explicitly describe how it makes money.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers behind the decline in net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025 despite rising revenue?
  • What is the reported EPS and cash balance for each period, which the financials currently list as N/A?
  • What is the content and magnitude of the Morgan Stanley price-target reduction referenced in the news wire?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillars, and in what direction?
  • What upstream and downstream dependencies, if any, link ABG to other companies in the auto-retail supply chain?

ABG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) โ€ข Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

๐Ÿ’ฌ Jump to ABG Debate Forum (3) โ†“
๐Ÿ”ฅ THE ROAR PIT โ€ข LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ABG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board โ€” What's Your Call at $198.03?

๐Ÿ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ABG ๐Ÿป 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ABG:
๐Ÿ’ก Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk โš–๏ธ DEBATE HOST ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $215.21 (+8.0%)
๐Ÿ“Œ Pinned Debate

๐Ÿ”ฅ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ABG (D โ€ข RQD 49/100) a Buy at $199.27?

Welcome to the ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell โ€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (๐Ÿ‚ Bull or ๐Ÿป Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $157.42 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $199.27

Pump the brakes on ABG โ€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ABG, but look at what you are paying: 7.3x trailing P/E with 17.1% gross margins. Unless Asbury Automotive Group Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader ๐Ÿ‚ BULLISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $227.17 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $199.27

ABG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ABG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $199.27 (52-wk range $160.30 - $258.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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