Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$199.27 +2.97% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.58B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$272 Bull$206 Base$161 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:55% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
45% PutsMax Pain: $195.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
55% Calls / 45% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.81x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$195.00
-2.14% vs. current $199.27 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.4%
Expected event band around $199.27

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ABG)

$190
6,200C / 11,800P
$195
6,200C / 11,800P
$200
14,500C / 11,800P
$205
14,500C / 5,100P
$210
14,500C / 5,100P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading ABG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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ABG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.78%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $203.3H $208.3L $193.4C $198.0VOL 362.1K
RES: $235.0SUP: $156.0SMA50: $189.0SMA200: $203.9
$264.0$235.9$207.8$179.7$151.6RES $235.0SUP $156.0$198.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ABG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ABG's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in ABG show 55% bullish call premium versus 45% put premium, centered near a $195 max-pain strike.