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Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$51.19 +5.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.79

Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $277.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.79 (+1.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VABK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VABK SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$48.50+4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$50.86-2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$49.69+3% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$51.19+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VABK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, VABK faces multiple-compression risk if 14.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.27) or 200D SMA ($43.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.95) toward Bear Floor ($41.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VABK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VABK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE90% OF RANGE

L: $37$51.19H: $53

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on VABK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

10.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 7.47% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

28/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VABK

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VABK Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VABK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.30%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $50.90H $52.76L $50.76C $51.19VOL 124.2K

RES: $53.22SUP: $47.82SMA50: $48.27SMA200: $43.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VABK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VABK Butterfly Map → + Track VABK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VABK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VABK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VABK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VABK)

Financials Rank #159 of 1096 ⚔️ FXNC vs VABK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VABK vs. FXNC, LCNB, OVBC, OVLY)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) ranks #159 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #829 by equity capitalization ($277.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OVLY leads on earnings valuation at 9.4x trailing P/E, while OVLY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. VABK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VABK ACTIVE Virginia National Bankshares Corporation	B-	70/100	14.4x	—	10.5%	+5.14%	$277.7M	Benchmark Subject
FXNC First National Corporation	B-	70/100	15.8x	—	9.5%	+0.26%	$279.7M	/fxnc-vs-vabk →
LCNB LCNB Corporation	C	65/100	12.3x	—	8.4%	+1.48%	$284.1M	/lcnb-vs-vabk →
OVBC Ohio Valley Banc Corp.	C+	69/100	17.3x	—	9.2%	+2.23%	$269.4M	/ovbc-vs-vabk →
OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA)	C+	69/100	9.4x	—	14.8%	+0.76%	$290.1M	/ovly-vs-vabk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001572334

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $19.3M, operating cash flow of $21.3M, and free cash flow of $20.8M (+42.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VABK closed FY2025 with $1.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$19.3M	$21.3M	$20.8M	$1.65B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$0	$15.3M	$14.6M	$1.62B	—

3. VABK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VABK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ: VABK) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $51.19 (+5.14% 1D, market cap $277.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, VABK ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VABK compare to FXNC and LCNB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), VABK carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.5%. By comparison, FXNC (First National Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $279.7M) and LCNB (LCNB Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $284.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OVLY leads on earnings multiple (9.4x) while OVLY leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VABK?

Per VABK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572334), Virginia National Bankshares Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $19.3M in net income, and $20.8M in free cash flow against $1.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VABK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VABK last traded at $51.19 (+5.14% on volume of 13,706 shares), positioning the stock +6.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.27) and +16.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.87). Across its 52-week range of $37.35 to $52.76, VABK sits at the 89.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($48.12 to $54.26).

VABK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VABK stock right now?

Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is VABK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VABK's 12-month base price target is $53.95 (range $41.98 to $63.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: VABK RQD Cockpit VABK 12M Forecast VABK Earnings & Move VABK Dividends & DRIP VABK Insiders & 13F VABK Whale Options VABK Profit Sankey VABK News & Why