Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$23.61 +6.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.85

Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.30B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on UTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Universal Technical Institute Inc (NYSE: UTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $23.61 (+6.59% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, UTI ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UTI compare to STRA and AFYA in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), UTI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, STRA (Strategic Education Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.73B) and AFYA (Afya Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $953.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while UTI leads on capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTI?
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Per UTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001261654), Universal Technical Institute Inc generated $835.6M in revenue (+14.0% YoY), $63.0M in net income, and $55.4M in free cash flow against $834.0M in total assets and $98.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.85 (+1.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$54 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE UTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UTI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.14 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.9) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$20.86-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$20.81+5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$21.99+7.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$23.61+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, UTI faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.91) or 200D SMA ($32.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.14) toward Bear Floor ($18.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
65.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.14>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE
L: $18$23.61H: $51
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on UTI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

19.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.26% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.14 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like UTI
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UTI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.31%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $22.15H $23.61L $22.15C $23.61VOL 2.14M
RES: $23.01SUP: $14.77SMA50: $20.91SMA200: $32.29
$53.67$44.01$34.35$24.68$15.02RES $23.01SUP $14.77$23.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UTI)

Real Estate Rank #18 of 51 ⚔️ STRA vs UTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (UTI vs. STRA, AFYA, PXED, PRDO)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #14 by equity capitalization ($1.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRDO leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while UTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.3% ROIC and — gross margin. PRDO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with UTI at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UTI ACTIVE
Universal Technical Institute Inc
C 63/100 20.6x — 19.3% +6.59% $1.30B Benchmark Subject
STRA
Strategic Education Inc.
C 63/100 13.6x — 9.1% +0.34% $1.73B /stra-vs-uti →
AFYA
Afya Limited (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -0.68% $953.2M /afya-vs-uti →
PXED
Phoenix Education Partners Inc.
D 45/100 — — — +2.30% $896.5M /pxed-vs-uti →
PRDO
Perdoceo Education Corporation
C+ 66/100 12.3x — 18.0% -0.32% $1.96B /prdo-vs-uti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001261654

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) reported GAAP revenue of $835.6M (+14.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $732.7M , and +37.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $63.0M, operating cash flow of $97.3M, and free cash flow of $55.4M (-10.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UTI closed FY2025 with $834.0M in total assets against $98.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.14, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $835.6M $63.0M $97.3M $55.4M $834.0M $98.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $732.7M $42.0M $85.9M $61.6M $753.8M $117.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $607.4M $12.3M $49.1M $49.1M — —

3. UTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Universal Technical Institute Inc (NYSE: UTI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $23.61 (+6.59% 1D, market cap $1.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, UTI ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UTI compare to STRA and AFYA in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), UTI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, STRA (Strategic Education Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.73B) and AFYA (Afya Limited (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $953.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRDO leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while UTI leads on capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UTI?

Per UTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001261654), Universal Technical Institute Inc generated $835.6M in revenue (+14.0% YoY), $63.0M in net income, and $55.4M in free cash flow against $834.0M in total assets and $98.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UTI last traded at $23.61 (+6.59% on volume of 2,141,192 shares), positioning the stock +12.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.91) and -26.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.29). Across its 52-week range of $18.02 to $51.34, UTI sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($21.32 to $25.90).

UTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell UTI stock right now?

Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 21x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is UTI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

UTI's 12-month base price target is $24.14 (range $18.83 to $53.91), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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