Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TKLF

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Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.50 -1.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.49

Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $8.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TKLF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TKLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: TKLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.50 (-1.96% 1D, market cap $8.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TKLF ranks #741 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TKLF compare to YJ and POM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TKLF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YJ (Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.7%, cap $6.1M) and POM (POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TKLF leads on earnings multiple (11.9x) while YJ leads on capital efficiency (-13.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKLF?

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Per TKLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001836242), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. generated $373.2M in revenue (+77.6% YoY), $716.7K in net income, and -$10.6M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.49 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TKLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TKLF SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.50+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.52-9.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.38+8.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.50-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TKLF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TKLF currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.61) and Max Pain ($1.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TKLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TKLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.50H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TKLF

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (37)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TKLF

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TKLF)

✓Walkthrough of TKLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TKLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.91%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $1.41H $1.53L $1.41C $1.50VOL 42.7K

RES: $1.62SUP: $1.08SMA50: $1.61SMA200: $2.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TKLF Butterfly Map → + Track TKLF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKLF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TKLF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #741 of 1011 ⚔️ YJ vs TKLF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TKLF vs. YJ, POM, BQ, WBUY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) ranks #741 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #940 by equity capitalization ($8.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TKLF leads on earnings valuation at 11.9x trailing P/E, while YJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -13.7% ROIC and 44.4% gross margin. TKLF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TKLF ACTIVE Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd.	D-	40/100	11.9x	—	—	-1.96%	$8.5M	Benchmark Subject
YJ Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares	E	30/100	—	44.4%	-13.7%	-3.25%	$6.1M	/yj-vs-tklf →
POM POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	13.1%	-35.0%	-22.61%	$5.5M	/pom-vs-tklf →
BQ Boqii Holding Limited (Class A)	E	34/100	—	26.3%	—	-3.29%	$3.9M	/bq-vs-tklf →
WBUY WEBUY GLOBAL LTD. (Class A)	E	24/100	—	12.0%	-35.0%	-10.49%	$3.3M	/wbuy-vs-tklf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001836242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) reported GAAP revenue of $373.2M (+77.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $210.1M , and +90.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $716.7K, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.6M (-567.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TKLF closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$373.2M	$716.7K	-$10.3M	-$10.6M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$210.1M	$6.6M	-$598.7K	-$1.6M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$195.7M	$7.5M	$1.9M	$1.9M	—	—

3. TKLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TKLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TKLF compare to YJ and POM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKLF?

Where is TKLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TKLF last traded at $1.50 (-1.96% on volume of 15,136 shares), positioning the stock -6.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.61) and -30.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $3.49, TKLF sits at the 9.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.31 to $1.69).

TKLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TKLF stock right now?

Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 40/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TKLF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TKLF's 12-month base price target is $1.38 (range $1.08 to $3.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TKLF RQD Cockpit TKLF 12M Forecast TKLF Earnings & Move TKLF Dividends & DRIP TKLF Insiders & 13F TKLF Whale Options TKLF Profit Sankey TKLF News & Why