Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SAH

GPI (78) ABG (49) OPLN (63) RUSHA (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$63.61 +0.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.85

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (16% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.85 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SAH SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($417.5M FCF) & 15.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$60.56+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$63.61-3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$61.28+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$63.61+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, SAH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.84) or 200D SMA ($73.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($67.33) toward Bear Floor ($52.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SAH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE

L: $54$63.61H: $114

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (16% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on SAH

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

11.1% ROIC with 15.7% gross margin and 20.76% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SAH

✓Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SAH Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.23%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $63.51H $65.97L $61.99C $63.61VOL 413.0K

RES: $60.95SUP: $52.67SMA50: $67.84SMA200: $73.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAH Butterfly Map → + Track SAH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #158 of 1011 ⚔️ GPI vs SAH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SAH vs. GPI, ABG, OPLN, RUSHA)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #414 by equity capitalization ($2.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SAH at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SAH ACTIVE Sonic Automotive Inc.	B-	71/100	16.9x	15.7%	11.1%	+0.78%	$2.01B	Benchmark Subject
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc.	B+	78/100	9.5x	16.0%	21.0%	+4.18%	$3.10B	/gpi-vs-sah →
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc	D	49/100	7.3x	17.1%	14.0%	+2.97%	$3.58B	/abg-vs-sah →
OPLN OPENLANE Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	—	9.5%	+2.70%	$4.73B	/opln-vs-sah →
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A	C	63/100	19.1x	20.7%	13.7%	+4.41%	$5.08B	/rusha-vs-sah →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) reported GAAP revenue of $15.15B (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.22B , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $118.7M, operating cash flow of $567.4M, and free cash flow of $417.5M (+634.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAH closed FY2025 with $5.97B in total assets against $1.56B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$15.15B	$118.7M	$567.4M	$417.5M	$5.97B	$1.56B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.22B	$216.0M	$109.2M	-$78.1M	$5.90B	$1.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.37B	$178.2M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	—	—

3. SAH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sonic Automotive Inc. (NYSE: SAH) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $63.61 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SAH ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAH compare to GPI and ABG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), SAH carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.10B) and ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAH?

Per SAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043509), Sonic Automotive Inc. generated $15.15B in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $118.7M in net income, and $417.5M in free cash flow against $5.97B in total assets and $1.56B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAH last traded at $63.61 (+0.78% on volume of 480,469 shares), positioning the stock -6.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.84) and -13.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.22). Across its 52-week range of $54.11 to $113.67, SAH sits at the 16.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($57.31 to $69.91).

SAH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SAH stock right now?

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (16% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is SAH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SAH's 12-month base price target is $67.33 (range $52.16 to $119.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SAH RQD Cockpit SAH 12M Forecast SAH Earnings & Move SAH Dividends & DRIP SAH Insiders & 13F SAH Whale Options SAH Profit Sankey SAH News & Why