Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RSKD

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Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.99 -0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.96

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.96 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 9.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RSKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY RSKD SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.12 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 96% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.53-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$8.22+11.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.15-1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.99-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RSKD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RSKD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.41) and Max Pain ($9.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RSKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “RSKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

55.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

6.12>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE96% OF RANGE

L: $4$8.99H: $9

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RSKD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

-20.3% ROIC with 51.7% gross margin and 2.71% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 6.12 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RSKD

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RSKD)

✓Walkthrough of RSKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

RSKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +95.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $8.76H $8.99L $8.46C $8.99VOL 1.95M

RES: $9.39SUP: $5.74SMA50: $7.41SMA200: $5.40

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RSKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RSKD Butterfly Map → + Track RSKD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RSKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RSKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RSKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RSKD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #585 of 1011 ⚔️ AHG vs RSKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RSKD vs. AHG, LQDT, NUTX, QNST)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) ranks #585 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #488 by equity capitalization ($1.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with RSKD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RSKD ACTIVE Riskified Ltd. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	51.7%	-20.3%	-0.55%	$1.22B	Benchmark Subject
AHG Akso Health Group ADS	D-	41/100	—	-0.1%	—	+2.31%	$1.14B	/ahg-vs-rskd →
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc.	B	72/100	50.5x	43.8%	12.9%	+3.32%	$1.42B	/lqdt-vs-rskd →
NUTX Nutex Health Inc.	B	75/100	20.3x	50.8%	85.0%	-1.19%	$1.44B	/nutx-vs-rskd →
QNST QuinStreet Inc.	B	73/100	—	10.1%	2.6%	+4.83%	$980.8M	/qnst-vs-rskd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851112

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) reported GAAP revenue of $344.6M (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.5M , and +15.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.6M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-15.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RSKD closed FY2025 with $410.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.12, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$344.6M	-$27.6M	$33.9M	$33.1M	$410.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$327.5M	-$34.9M	$39.7M	$39.1M	$495.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$297.6M	-$59.0M	$7.3M	$7.3M	—	—

3. RSKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RSKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (NYSE: RSKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $8.99 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RSKD ranks #585 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RSKD compare to AHG and LQDT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RSKD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of -20.3%. By comparison, AHG (Akso Health Group ADS) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.14B) and LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RSKD?

Per RSKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851112), Riskified Ltd. (Class A) generated $344.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$27.6M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $410.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RSKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RSKD last traded at $8.99 (-0.55% on volume of 901,623 shares), positioning the stock +21.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.41) and +66.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.40). Across its 52-week range of $3.70 to $9.23, RSKD sits at the 95.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($7.98 to $10.00).

RSKD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RSKD stock right now?

Riskified Ltd. (Class A) (RSKD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RSKD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RSKD's 12-month base price target is $8.79 (range $6.86 to $10.37), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: RSKD RQD Cockpit RSKD 12M Forecast RSKD Earnings & Move RSKD Dividends & DRIP RSKD Insiders & 13F RSKD Whale Options RSKD Profit Sankey RSKD News & Why